mrworldwide
0x98d04f9eb52d08ef9697f6eb8d7cfe8d46e5f14a
- Realised P&L
- $220.1k
- Volume
- $5.18M
- Markets traded
- 1,834
- Open portfolio
- $181.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded1,834
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.3kat 0.369Will David Crowley win Waukesha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?
- +$9.3kat 0.813Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
- +$9.0kat 0.194Will the Liberal–National Coalition win less than 45 seats?
- +$8.2kat 0.774Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$6.9kat 0.637Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:39 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.1k |
| 11-01 17:48 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $695.01 |
| 11-01 17:48 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $592.56 |
| 11-01 17:47 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $516.81 |
| 11-01 17:08 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $1.7k |
| 11-01 15:35 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.83 | $3.3k |
| 11-01 15:34 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.82 | $875.78 |
| 11-01 15:34 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8146029097 | $2.2k |
| 11-01 13:35 | Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $242.70 |
| 11-01 13:35 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $452.65 |
| 11-01 12:56 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.778854741 | $1.7k |
| 11-01 12:56 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.7842281198 | $7.3k |
| 11-01 10:39 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8195947203 | $889.81 |
| 11-01 10:39 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.82 | $1.7k |
| 11-01 09:17 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7496878307 | $2.4k |