resilience26
0x16da1dfba37b7b8f3b313924e327131b84b805c0
- Realised P&L
- $-13.7k
- Volume
- $2.95M
- Markets traded
- 3,295
- Open portfolio
- $22.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,295
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.034Will Dan Barker win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
- +$225.88at 0.745Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5
- +$213.57at 0.070Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
- +$193.54at 0.791France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5
- +$175.71at 0.057World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 23:15 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Montana Senate election by 21% or more? | SELL | 0.051 | $0.97 |
| 09-16 23:10 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 9%-12%? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.66 |
| 09-16 23:07 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 3%-6%? | BUY | 0.16 | $31.36 |
| 09-16 22:54 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 10%-15%? | BUY | 0.0239183673 | $1.17 |
| 09-16 22:54 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 35%-40%? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.50 |
| 09-16 22:53 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 30%-35%? | BUY | 0.108210316 | $43.32 |
| 09-16 22:49 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-06 House election by 35%-40%? | BUY | 0.066 | $1.32 |
| 09-16 22:46 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-06 House election by 15%-20%? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 09-16 22:44 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 50%-55%? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 09-16 22:43 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 70%-75%? | BUY | 0.0498339281 | $4.19 |
| 09-16 22:41 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 55%-60%? | SELL | 0.33 | $10.56 |
| 09-16 22:40 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 60%-65%? | BUY | 0.18 | $10.80 |
| 09-16 22:38 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-04 House election by 40%-45%? | BUY | 0.0698016249 | $12.37 |
| 09-16 22:32 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election by 40%-45%? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 09-16 22:31 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election by 30%-35%? | BUY | 0.0858139535 | $18.45 |