PolyBot

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Traders

resilience26

0x16da1dfba37b7b8f3b313924e327131b84b805c0

Realised P&L
$-13.7k
Volume
$2.95M
Markets traded
3,295
Open portfolio
$22.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,295
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 10%-15%? · No0.7730.736$311.36$15.91
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? · No0.7530.689$304.11$28.49
Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1120.095$285.00$50.93
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.6840.675$283.50$3.97
Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0720.051$283.50$122.96
Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections? · Yes0.8830.875$274.03$2.49
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 21% or more? · Yes0.3130.275$192.20$26.33
Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.6670.720$187.05+$13.75
Will Alexis Tsipras be the next Prime Minister of Greece? · No0.9430.935$184.78$1.43
Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.6150.585$179.08$9.04
Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2028? · No0.8380.805$176.11$7.16
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election by 35% or more? · No0.8380.865$169.67+$5.34
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election? · No0.9400.941$147.40+$0.08
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 0%-5%? · No0.8200.865$138.40+$7.20
Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Colorado in the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.8370.750$138.32$15.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 23:15Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Montana Senate election by 21% or more?SELL0.051$0.97
09-16 23:10Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 9%-12%?SELL0.18$1.66
09-16 23:07Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 3%-6%?BUY0.16$31.36
09-16 22:54Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 10%-15%?BUY0.0239183673$1.17
09-16 22:54Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 35%-40%?BUY0.07$3.50
09-16 22:53Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 30%-35%?BUY0.108210316$43.32
09-16 22:49Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-06 House election by 35%-40%?BUY0.066$1.32
09-16 22:46Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-06 House election by 15%-20%?BUY0.09$1.80
09-16 22:44Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 50%-55%?BUY0.07$1.40
09-16 22:43Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 70%-75%?BUY0.0498339281$4.19
09-16 22:41Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 55%-60%?SELL0.33$10.56
09-16 22:40Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 60%-65%?BUY0.18$10.80
09-16 22:38Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-04 House election by 40%-45%?BUY0.0698016249$12.37
09-16 22:32Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election by 40%-45%?SELL0.32$6.40
09-16 22:31Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election by 30%-35%?BUY0.0858139535$18.45