PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x94889b1ef66b48e7f4d55c841224d07c146f6b27

Realised P&L
$95.46
Volume
$5.8k
Markets traded
238
Open portfolio
$181.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded238
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.7350.960$138.15+$32.32
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes0.3310.999$6.69+$4.47
Will CAQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election? · Yes0.4490.465$5.55+$0.20
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · No0.2500.150$3.82$2.55
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by 7-10%? · Yes0.3300.999$3.21+$2.15
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes? · Yes0.6201.000$3.01+$1.14
Will CAQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election? · No0.5860.585$3.00$0.01
Will PLQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election? · Yes0.6000.560$2.88$0.21
Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority? · Yes0.2600.195$2.39$0.79
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 3% or more? · Yes0.8300.945$2.20+$0.27
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes0.2100.135$2.05$1.13
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%? · Yes0.9260.842$1.98$0.20
Will the Green Party (MP) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · No0.7400.999$1.38+$0.36
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat? · Yes0.8100.923$1.15+$0.14
Will the PQ win fewer than 50 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? · Yes0.6400.400$0.97$0.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:41Will the PLQ win 32-35 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?BUY0.2899999535$1.06
09-17 20:27Will CAQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?BUY0.5099998093$1.07
09-17 19:31Will CAQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?BUY0.5099998093$1.07
09-17 19:31Will CAQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?BUY0.5499998715$1.07
09-17 14:15Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.93$69.60
09-17 14:02Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.93$13.64
09-17 13:25Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.93$0.09
09-17 13:21Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.93$64.28
09-17 13:13Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.94$0.20
09-17 13:00Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.93$0.06
09-17 13:00Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.93$0.07
09-17 12:53Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.93$40.89
09-17 12:53Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.93$12.02
09-17 12:53Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.93$6.70
09-17 09:01Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.94$0.04