0x94889b1ef66b48e7f4d55c841224d07c146f6b27
- Realised P&L
- $95.46
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 238
- Open portfolio
- $181.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded238
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$95.66at 0.256Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- +$94.36at 0.249Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- +$62.70at 0.082Will Angie Nixon be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?
- +$52.86at 0.709Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- +$31.25at 0.350Will Belinda Keiser be the FL-22 Republican nominee?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:41 | Will the PLQ win 32-35 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | BUY | 0.2899999535 | $1.06 |
| 09-17 20:27 | Will CAQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.5099998093 | $1.07 |
| 09-17 19:31 | Will CAQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.5099998093 | $1.07 |
| 09-17 19:31 | Will CAQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.5499998715 | $1.07 |
| 09-17 14:15 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.93 | $69.60 |
| 09-17 14:02 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.93 | $13.64 |
| 09-17 13:25 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.09 |
| 09-17 13:21 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.93 | $64.28 |
| 09-17 13:13 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.20 |
| 09-17 13:00 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.06 |
| 09-17 13:00 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.07 |
| 09-17 12:53 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.93 | $40.89 |
| 09-17 12:53 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.93 | $12.02 |
| 09-17 12:53 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.93 | $6.70 |
| 09-17 09:01 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.04 |