0x94889b1ef66b48e7f4d55c841224d07c146f6b27
0x94889b1ef66b48e7f4d55c841224d07c146f6b27
- Realised P&L
- $-63.42
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 411
- Open portfolio
- $678.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded411
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$95.66at 0.256Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- +$94.36at 0.249Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- +$87.44at 0.298Will Casey Askar be the FL-22 Republican nominee?
- +$62.70at 0.082Will Angie Nixon be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?
- +$52.86at 0.709Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 03:22 | Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.4599999979 | $21.45 |
| 11-02 01:17 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999893 | $8.15 |
| 11-02 01:11 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999855 | $13.86 |
| 11-01 20:39 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.2799999979 | $10.84 |
| 11-01 17:48 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999938 | $6.85 |
| 11-01 17:48 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999234 | $5.84 |
| 11-01 17:47 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999725 | $5.09 |
| 11-01 17:08 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999996 | $16.52 |
| 11-01 13:35 | Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999877 | $2.35 |
| 11-01 13:35 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999836 | $4.39 |
| 11-01 13:30 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.76 | $5.59 |
| 11-01 12:57 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.76 | $0.12 |
| 11-01 12:57 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.76 | $0.01 |
| 11-01 12:56 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.76 | $0.03 |
| 11-01 12:56 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.76 | $0.25 |