PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.27. up 0.04 over the period, from 0.23. Range 0.20 to 0.51. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.27717717
0.285311,248
0.29201,268
0.40331,301
0.4591,311
0.46171,328
0.5061,334
0.7281,342
0.7371,349
0.745001,849
0.806502,499
0.98522,551

Spread0.01Mid0.27

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.26354354
0.25531885
0.1950935
0.1650985
0.15471,032
0.14301,062
0.11201,082
0.03131,095
0.02201,115
0.01481,163

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.74354354
0.75531885
0.8150935
0.8450985
0.85471,032
0.86301,062
0.89201,082
0.97131,095
0.98201,115
0.99481,163

Spread0.01Mid0.73

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.73717717
0.725311,248
0.71201,268
0.60331,301
0.5591,311
0.54171,328
0.5061,334
0.2881,342
0.2771,349
0.265001,849
0.206502,499
0.02522,551

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13Yes304.3
Johnny-WorkerYes62.98
AJSVYes49.2
Mithrandir.Yes40
wert4Yes34.28
pootytherewardfarmerYes31.85
SingletonFamilyFundYes24
frontiertradeYes22.99
SlackjawYes20
LeChatonFatYes20
jdkfbsbdskjbfjksqYes19.76
youtube-traderYes17.35
romanew-cryptoYes9.46
a5533Yes8.24
ConsensusOfCredibleReportingYes6
winexecutescaleYes5.7
ForchYes1.66
iutwpfalNo356.44
GuyFromTinderNo121.51
tradetosurvive1No78.24

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:32:34BUYNo0.739999983421$15.20
14:32:34SELLYes0.26100$26.00
05:59:01SELLYes0.2650$13.00
18:02:01SELLNo0.744$2.96
14:56:45SELLNo0.74100$74.00
07:27:00SELLNo0.77390$300.53
03:59:03SELLNo0.77165$126.76
03:54:01SELLNo0.7710$7.70
03:54:01SELLNo0.7710$7.42
03:53:46SELLNo0.7825$19.80
02:34:24SELLNo0.8154$123.20
02:32:33BUYNo0.7830170049510$399.68
01:51:45BUYYes0.2275$16.50
23:16:40BUYYes0.22195$42.92
21:45:27SELLYes0.2150$10.50
21:45:24BUYNo0.7891$70.82
21:45:24BUYNo0.78443112890$70.43
14:59:33SELLNo0.7801251906125$97.21
14:50:33SELLNo0.756$4.50
14:46:07BUYNo0.77318311284$65.32
14:46:07BUYNo0.7390$65.68
14:13:01BUYNo0.72125$90.00
06:52:16SELLNo0.686$4.38
06:50:49SELLNo0.755$38.50
06:50:24SELLNo0.716$4.17