LeChatonFat
0x9629804e001a60ebe8a289a334ccf2e5553aee15
- Realised P&L
- $4.2k
- Volume
- $3.41M
- Markets traded
- 17,318
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17,318
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.174Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.4kat 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
- +$1.4kat 0.263Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
- +$1.3kat 0.196Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
- +$1.3kat 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 20:20 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0235121465 | $20.00 |
| 09-30 16:49 | Will Trump say "ICE" during his remarks at the Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $20.00 |
| 09-30 14:04 | Will "Verity" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.9299999825 | $3.18 |
| 09-30 14:04 | Will "Verity" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.9299999986 | $20.00 |
| 09-30 11:45 | Will Trump say "ICE" during his rally in Oklahoma? | BUY | 0.75 | $20.00 |
| 09-30 08:59 | Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999904 | $20.00 |
| 09-30 08:11 | Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999911 | $20.00 |
| 09-29 19:40 | Will "Digger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.9699999995 | $20.00 |
| 09-29 15:24 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | SELL | 0.34 | $19.43 |
| 09-29 15:23 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $20.00 |
| 09-29 14:43 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | SELL | 0.15 | $14.68 |
| 09-29 14:39 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2043725988 | $20.00 |
| 09-29 06:25 | Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 2? | BUY | 0.8358208756 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 17:27 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his announcement? | BUY | 0.64 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 17:18 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $4.94 |