Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-06-30
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.083. down 0.302 over the period, from 0.385. Range 0.025 to 0.385. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.099	323	323
0.100	875	1,198
0.190	9	1,207
0.191	55	1,262
0.192	200	1,462
0.368	113	1,574
0.369	568	2,142
0.370	300	2,442
0.706	40	2,482
0.710	110	2,592
0.739	122	2,713
0.740	540	3,253

Spread0.032Mid0.083

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.067	334	334
0.066	640	974
0.065	100	1,074
0.060	641	1,715
0.057	50	1,765
0.045	6	1,771
0.044	50	1,821
0.022	11	1,832
0.021	50	1,882
0.017	67	1,949
0.011	7	1,956
0.010	8	1,964

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.933	334	334
0.934	640	974
0.935	100	1,074
0.940	641	1,715
0.943	50	1,765
0.955	6	1,771
0.956	50	1,821
0.978	11	1,832
0.979	50	1,882
0.983	67	1,949
0.989	7	1,956
0.990	8	1,964

Spread0.032Mid0.917

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.901	323	323
0.900	875	1,198
0.810	9	1,207
0.809	55	1,262
0.808	200	1,462
0.632	113	1,574
0.631	568	2,142
0.630	300	2,442
0.294	40	2,482
0.290	110	2,592
0.261	122	2,713
0.260	540	3,253

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
chwk	Yes	349.67
0x659db5d7C035771e1b1b3243e544207BAE71a037-1744115964414	Yes	200
Agecanonix	Yes	50
AJSV	Yes	30.19
PPMT	Yes	29.95
Anony777	Yes	20
GuyFromTinder	Yes	17.8
Dr.PNL	Yes	8.89
molodoyy	No	301
0x6196…6208	No	100
0xc5Da0479929C51dA75253B93E980686DC8085F86-1770930789178	No	100
parameter1	No	52.97
0xd5d8…2722	No	51.05
guge22	No	50
pootytherewardfarmer	No	46.4
0x45e606f7849330AdAd37875f835FBdD1B7868FCa-1775496679263	No	5.1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:14:09	BUY	No	0.93	50	$46.50
20:14:09	BUY	No	0.92	100	$92.00
20:02:46	SELL	Yes	0.086	48	$4.09
20:02:45	SELL	Yes	0.087	48	$4.14
20:02:40	SELL	Yes	0.09	9	$0.80
20:02:39	SELL	Yes	0.09	9	$0.80
20:02:37	SELL	Yes	0.09	9	$0.80
20:02:36	SELL	Yes	0.091	9	$0.81
20:02:34	SELL	Yes	0.091	9	$0.81
20:02:31	SELL	Yes	0.091	9	$0.81
19:58:31	SELL	No	0.879	38	$33.06
19:58:22	BUY	No	0.9049999957	51	$46.20
15:01:31	SELL	No	0.853	50	$42.65
11:02:01	BUY	No	0.816	38	$30.69
09:07:33	SELL	No	0.9	20	$18.00
09:03:16	BUY	Yes	0.07775	200	$15.55
08:26:34	SELL	No	0.93	58	$53.58
08:25:55	SELL	No	0.93	90	$83.70
07:40:12	SELL	No	0.93	42	$39.45
06:35:16	BUY	Yes	0.0571968171	350	$20.00
06:19:54	SELL	Yes	0.025	50	$1.25
05:58:55	SELL	No	0.974	50	$48.70
05:47:52	SELL	Yes	0.029	96	$2.78
05:45:58	SELL	No	0.956	50	$47.80
05:45:49	BUY	Yes	0.0396840613	190	$7.56