PolyBot

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Traders

chwk

0x83563d1e668a868979898d0dca82a3f8042e7ad1

Realised P&L
$-743.58
Volume
$190.2k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$179.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 06:37Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1606747107$17.23
09-17 06:35Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.0571968171$20.00
09-17 06:33Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1493072145$20.00
09-17 06:33Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.2999999985$20.00
09-17 06:32Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.669999995$20.00
09-17 06:27Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?BUY0.8699999933$97.92
09-04 00:32Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?BUY0.1399999981$60.73
03-05 04:35Will Trump say 'AI' or 'artificial intelligence' during the 2025 State of the Union?BUY0.0090690476$7.75
03-05 04:34Will Frank Baylis be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?SELL0.002$7.75
03-05 03:23Will Trump say 'AI' or 'artificial intelligence' during the 2025 State of the Union?BUY0.2874699666$104.78
03-05 03:22Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?SELL0.0546624603$31.32
03-05 03:22Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?SELL0.11$73.46
03-01 00:08Will Frank Baylis be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?BUY0.0043545957$16.87
02-28 04:51Will Frank Baylis be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?SELL0.002$0.99
02-28 04:50Trump releases Epstein list today?BUY0.003$58.41