PolyBot

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Traders

Anony777

0x3d7702587a84915097dfaf48de9f6623808d7004

Realised P&L
$-7.8k
Volume
$987.5k
Markets traded
14,653
Open portfolio
$25.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14,653
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.52% in September? · No0.2200.715$3.40+$2.36
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2100.130$2.60$1.60
Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.4100.105$2.10$6.10
Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 31? · Yes0.5000.090$1.80$8.20
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.0500.086$1.71+$0.71
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.4300.535$1.60+$0.32
Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat? · No0.1200.235$1.47+$0.72
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2800.065$1.30$4.30
Will A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? · Yes0.2670.054$1.09$4.25
Will Sydney Kamlager-Dove win the CA-37 House seat? · No0.0900.051$1.02$0.78
Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? · Yes0.3870.051$1.01$6.73
Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government? · Yes0.8870.705$0.94$0.24
Will Alexey Russkikh win the next Ulyanovsk Oblast gubernatorial elections? · No0.0670.040$0.79$0.55
Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 9? · Yes0.4810.035$0.78$10.10
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30? · No0.3000.037$0.75$5.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 14:12Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?SELL0.13$2.60
09-16 14:12Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?SELL0.29$5.80
09-16 14:12Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?SELL0.49$9.80
09-15 20:32Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 4PM ETBUY0.89$4.45
09-15 20:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4PM ETBUY0.89$4.45
09-15 17:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1PM ETBUY0.87$4.35
09-15 15:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11AM ETBUY0.89$4.45
09-15 15:25Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 11AM ETBUY0.89$4.45
09-15 14:24Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?SELL0.18$7.20
09-15 14:23Moonshot matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?SELL0.096$0.03
09-15 14:22Mistral matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?SELL0.12$3.90
09-15 13:40Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9AM ETBUY0.94$4.70
09-15 13:40Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9AM ETBUY0.93$4.65
09-15 12:52Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8AM ETBUY0.91$27.30
09-15 09:54Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5AM ETBUY0.89$4.45