Will the next GPT Luna model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-06-30
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.08. down 0.18 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.06 to 0.54. 104 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.11	150	150
0.14	16	166
0.15	16	182
0.28	45	227
0.29	80	307
0.30	50	357
0.52	500	857
0.53	5	862
0.54	17	879
0.55	74	954
0.80	20	974
0.82	30	1,004

Spread0.06Mid0.08

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.05	7	7
0.04	307	314
0.03	748	1,062
0.02	533	1,595
0.01	163	1,758

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.95	7	7
0.96	307	314
0.97	748	1,062
0.98	533	1,595
0.99	163	1,758

Spread0.06Mid0.92

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.89	150	150
0.86	16	166
0.85	16	182
0.72	45	227
0.71	80	307
0.70	50	357
0.48	500	857
0.47	5	862
0.46	17	879
0.45	74	954
0.20	20	974
0.18	30	1,004

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
AiBird	Yes	327.77
2B9S	Yes	300
molodoyy	Yes	213.32
InterestingUser	Yes	200
Fihdrzgdd	Yes	100
0x45e6Df48cCF5d1773D509C97052F819690cEC078-1782111207998	Yes	79.99
Ogbournet	Yes	74.37
0x230d59Fa945B31660740EA95b8C9F774ED303fBB-1774601889454	Yes	50
romanew-crypto	Yes	50
AJSV	Yes	49.54
0x489A6942253203fD0c5e786c230419a02840FfF2-1782011056329	Yes	40
PPMT	Yes	30
Slackjaw	Yes	20
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	12.91
0xA3772a0A12bdf3FA879430FaB514168565d52b3b-1777253800291	Yes	10
arrpadex	Yes	10
bjprolo	Yes	8
0x40C73F1916fbd495f8117Dc5755561aD778CB1E8-1782111633519	Yes	5
lamyk	No	422.27
Hannah-Montana	No	341.07

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
03:53:24	BUY	No	0.94	50	$46.90
03:46:20	BUY	No	0.9300170807	64	$59.89
03:31:14	SELL	No	0.88	8	$6.86
02:01:45	SELL	No	0.9181775166	192	$176.58
01:35:09	SELL	No	0.93	0	$0.32
01:35:08	SELL	No	0.93	0	$0.31
01:35:06	BUY	No	0.97	10	$9.70
01:32:42	BUY	No	0.9699998751	5	$4.97
01:32:41	SELL	No	0.9	0	$0.15
01:32:39	BUY	No	0.9670855675	140	$134.91
01:32:39	BUY	No	0.8857057772	336	$297.42
01:32:38	BUY	No	0.8542279597	159	$135.65
01:32:38	BUY	No	0.9099999927	5	$4.96
01:32:36	BUY	No	0.674973411	197	$133.27
10:26:39	BUY	No	0.55	13	$7.10
10:25:23	BUY	No	0.55	7	$3.85
10:25:23	BUY	No	0.55	7	$3.85
10:25:21	BUY	No	0.55	27	$14.85
17:42:05	BUY	No	0.6415094049	8	$5.00
16:54:08	BUY	Yes	0.3246896681	213	$69.26
14:54:33	SELL	No	0.71	20	$14.20
14:14:52	BUY	No	0.78	20	$15.60
14:14:52	SELL	Yes	0.3	120	$36.00
11:23:59	SELL	No	0.67	31	$20.92
01:36:05	BUY	Yes	0.4	10	$4.00