PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Ogbournet

0xfb66a5755f4a68e9df583d6576c8974ca0551201

Realised P&L
$20.95
Volume
$11.6k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$6.69

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration71.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next GPT Luna model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5300.090$6.69−$32.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 08:38Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?SELL0.045$21.15
07-22 06:53UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?SELL0.947$130.47
07-22 06:51UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?SELL0.952$249.42
07-22 05:55UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?BUY0.9520862719$434.15
07-22 05:38Iran Nuke before 2027?SELL0.945$436.59
07-22 05:12Iran Nuke before 2027?BUY0.944$436.13
07-10 07:45Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.957$403.85
07-10 07:04NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.93$420.36
06-29 08:08Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?BUY0.936$421.20
06-29 07:34Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?SELL0.967$422.58
06-29 06:58Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.963$420.83
06-18 09:24Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?SELL0.071$47.37
06-18 08:59Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?BUY0.039$2.38
06-18 08:54Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?SELL0.044$1.41
06-18 08:52Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?BUY0.0449139091$14.82