PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Hannah-Montana

0x521bf1c6a5435219b599127d85b7afe28758db60

Realised P&L
$-7.8k
Volume
$2.41M
Markets traded
500
Open portfolio
$18.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded500
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? · Yes0.5690.685$7.1k+$1.2k
Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26? · Yes0.7960.966$2.8k+$485.01
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027? · No0.6140.620$1.7k+$16.90
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · No0.5880.465$980.66−$259.16
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No0.7300.820$931.18+$102.20
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 1 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? · No0.7550.730$806.50−$27.90
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027? · No0.3560.330$744.07−$57.82
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.3030.325$605.66+$41.00
Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on November 9, 2026? · No0.9470.982$499.98+$17.95
Will any other model be the best AI model on November 9, 2026? · Yes0.7380.973$361.85+$87.41
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.6830.370$216.01−$183.04
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027? · No0.7800.805$207.10+$6.43
Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of November 2? · Yes0.4170.420$194.59+$1.13
Will OpenRouter process at least 775T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22? · Yes0.7600.845$183.79+$18.49
Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of November 2? · No0.9430.630$170.73−$84.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:38Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26?BUY0.9$944.09
11-01 19:31Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26?BUY0.8621692839$919.09
11-01 15:15Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26?BUY0.4360525243$160.39
11-01 15:15Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26?BUY0.44$30.36
11-01 09:26Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26?BUY0.58$5.80
11-01 09:25Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26?BUY0.48$47.50
11-01 09:00Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26?BUY0.5986325211$144.46
11-01 08:50Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26?BUY0.25$0.37
11-01 08:49Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of November 2?SELL0.8537996778$386.92
10-31 20:00Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of November 2?BUY0.94$276.52
10-31 19:15Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of November 2?BUY0.9455813953$406.60
10-31 19:15Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of November 2?BUY0.1601234568$51.88
10-31 19:14Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of November 2?BUY0.4345450037$175.25
10-31 12:49Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?SELL0.33$66.00
10-30 07:49Will OpenRouter process at least 775T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22?BUY0.76$165.30