Hannah-Montana
0x521bf1c6a5435219b599127d85b7afe28758db60
- Realised P&L
- $-7.8k
- Volume
- $2.41M
- Markets traded
- 500
- Open portfolio
- $18.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded500
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.9kat 0.698Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
- +$4.2kat 0.297Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?
- +$3.5kat 0.152Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?
- +$3.4kat 0.655Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?
- +$3.4kat 0.508Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:38 | Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.9 | $944.09 |
| 11-01 19:31 | Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.8621692839 | $919.09 |
| 11-01 15:15 | Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.4360525243 | $160.39 |
| 11-01 15:15 | Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.44 | $30.36 |
| 11-01 09:26 | Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 11-01 09:25 | Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.48 | $47.50 |
| 11-01 09:00 | Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.5986325211 | $144.46 |
| 11-01 08:50 | Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.25 | $0.37 |
| 11-01 08:49 | Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of November 2? | SELL | 0.8537996778 | $386.92 |
| 10-31 20:00 | Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of November 2? | BUY | 0.94 | $276.52 |
| 10-31 19:15 | Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of November 2? | BUY | 0.9455813953 | $406.60 |
| 10-31 19:15 | Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of November 2? | BUY | 0.1601234568 | $51.88 |
| 10-31 19:14 | Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of November 2? | BUY | 0.4345450037 | $175.25 |
| 10-31 12:49 | Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.33 | $66.00 |
| 10-30 07:49 | Will OpenRouter process at least 775T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22? | BUY | 0.76 | $165.30 |