PolyBot

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Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Resolves by
https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards
40 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.34. up 0.02 over the period, from 0.33. Range 0.18 to 0.41. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.36287287
0.3780367
0.38130497
0.4012509
0.4117526
0.428001,326
0.47801,406
0.74101,416
0.90101,426
0.96391,465
0.981001,565
0.99551,620

Spread0.03Mid0.34

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.33327327
0.32319646
0.0734680
0.0658738
0.04100838
0.0130,05030,888

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.67327327
0.68319646
0.9334680
0.9458738
0.96100838
0.9930,05030,888

Spread0.03Mid0.66

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.64287287
0.6380367
0.62130497
0.6012509
0.5917526
0.588001,326
0.53801,406
0.26101,416
0.10101,426
0.04391,465
0.021001,565
0.01551,620

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
grandvaliraYes800.25
tradetosurvive1Yes170
breakingcuteYes134.9
Tenebrus7Yes75.31
frontiertradeYes60
0x5cA7E46f9377E2101aaB6888cbFC4708C787e3e8-1769500946991Yes54.9
jamskiYes50
feeder-of-marketsYes40
9988wwwYes33.4
eggsandoYes6
pol5lonYes5
BAO95889No220
LornaPredictsNo197.5
peter239784No190
ArmageddonRewardsBillyNo188.85
conherenceNo135.48
Mithrandir.No120
title1No100
viniiNo80.01
AJSVNo74.3

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
01:55:57SELLNo0.6435$22.40
00:38:13SELLNo0.655$3.08
00:38:12SELLNo0.6669565217115$76.70
00:14:52SELLNo0.674$2.87
00:14:51SELLNo0.67104$69.68
10:29:00SELLNo0.6787$58.29
01:09:25SELLNo0.669$5.71
01:09:22SELLNo0.67210$140.70
22:49:00BUYNo0.679999989211$7.58
22:48:58BUYNo0.67260$174.20
18:45:45BUYYes0.3333$10.99
18:34:33SELLYes0.3350$16.50
16:56:14BUYNo0.669999981614$9.49
16:56:11BUYNo0.6123533898354$216.77
12:25:04SELLNo0.6770$46.90
06:40:18SELLNo0.6750$33.50
02:03:57SELLNo0.7270$50.40
02:03:55BUYYes0.27800$216.07
02:03:54BUYYes0.28132$36.96
01:34:34SELLYes0.2514$3.53
01:33:46SELLYes0.2740$10.80
01:28:34SELLYes0.2740$10.80
00:54:55SELLYes0.2720$5.40
00:48:19SELLYes0.2920$5.80
00:47:09BUYYes0.225$1.10