PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

conherence

0xfd59791f361f6aed2960d5923eed702887300231

Realised P&L
$2.2k
Volume
$126.0k
Markets traded
278
Open portfolio
$26.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded278
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 28%? · Over0.9280.936$3.0k+$27.41
Will SPD win between 28% and 31% of all valid second votes? · No0.8400.915$2.3k+$189.00
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.7530.875$1.8k+$251.10
Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · No0.7780.755$1.3k$40.64
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · No0.2511.000$1.1k+$790.17
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? · No0.9120.950$798.19+$32.06
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · No0.8941.000$710.08+$74.53
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? · No0.9590.972$683.05+$8.72
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · No0.8130.751$631.41$51.63
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%? · No0.9040.977$616.13+$46.01
Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes? · No0.7050.845$549.25+$90.93
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? · Yes0.5550.842$469.58+$160.09
Berlin State Election: AfD Over/Under 17%? · Over0.7210.715$464.75$4.21
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.7910.775$448.18$9.52
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · No0.1970.245$435.60+$84.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 22:46Will Linke win less than 17% of all valid second votes?BUY0.0444$2.22
09-16 22:46Will Linke win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?BUY0.14$7.00
09-16 22:46Berlin State Election: Linke Over/Under 20%?BUY0.78$39.00
09-16 11:19Will SPD win between 25% and 28% of all valid second votes?BUY0.0478998988$1.20
09-16 11:19Will SPD win less than 25% of all valid second votes?BUY0.04$1.00
09-16 11:19Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 28%?BUY0.876$21.90
09-16 10:53Will SPD win less than 25% of all valid second votes?BUY0.0475010392$2.38
09-16 10:53Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 28%?BUY0.879$44.04
09-16 10:53Will SPD win between 25% and 28% of all valid second votes?BUY0.0439999998$2.21
09-16 10:46Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 28%?BUY0.8839999991$53.82
09-16 10:46Will SPD win between 25% and 28% of all valid second votes?BUY0.043$2.62
09-16 10:46Will SPD win less than 25% of all valid second votes?BUY0.0471161207$2.87
09-16 10:38Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 28%?BUY0.883$44.24
09-16 10:38Will SPD win between 25% and 28% of all valid second votes?BUY0.0454025968$2.28
09-16 10:38Will SPD win less than 25% of all valid second votes?BUY0.0403950685$2.03