conherence
0xfd59791f361f6aed2960d5923eed702887300231
- Realised P&L
- $2.2k
- Volume
- $126.0k
- Markets traded
- 278
- Open portfolio
- $26.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded278
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.5kat 0.063Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?
- +$1.0kat 0.153Will CDU win less than 20% of all valid second votes?
- +$955.13at 0.137Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
- +$854.54at 0.860Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?
- +$715.09at 0.304Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 22:46 | Will Linke win less than 17% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.0444 | $2.22 |
| 09-16 22:46 | Will Linke win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.14 | $7.00 |
| 09-16 22:46 | Berlin State Election: Linke Over/Under 20%? | BUY | 0.78 | $39.00 |
| 09-16 11:19 | Will SPD win between 25% and 28% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.0478998988 | $1.20 |
| 09-16 11:19 | Will SPD win less than 25% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 11:19 | Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 28%? | BUY | 0.876 | $21.90 |
| 09-16 10:53 | Will SPD win less than 25% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.0475010392 | $2.38 |
| 09-16 10:53 | Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 28%? | BUY | 0.879 | $44.04 |
| 09-16 10:53 | Will SPD win between 25% and 28% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.0439999998 | $2.21 |
| 09-16 10:46 | Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 28%? | BUY | 0.8839999991 | $53.82 |
| 09-16 10:46 | Will SPD win between 25% and 28% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.043 | $2.62 |
| 09-16 10:46 | Will SPD win less than 25% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.0471161207 | $2.87 |
| 09-16 10:38 | Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 28%? | BUY | 0.883 | $44.24 |
| 09-16 10:38 | Will SPD win between 25% and 28% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.0454025968 | $2.28 |
| 09-16 10:38 | Will SPD win less than 25% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.0403950685 | $2.03 |