PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-07-01
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.18. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.17. Range 0.10 to 0.23. 161 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.19409409
0.2040449
0.22300749
0.2811760
0.2910770
0.3010780
0.52140920
0.634301,350
0.731701,520
0.74801,600
0.86101,610
0.90511,661

Spread0.02Mid0.18

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.17345345
0.16101446
0.1522468
0.1420488
0.1264552
0.1120572
0.0944616
0.0844660
0.0778738
0.0683821
0.038829
0.0239868

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.83345345
0.84101446
0.8522468
0.8620488
0.8864552
0.8920572
0.9144616
0.9244660
0.9378738
0.9483821
0.978829
0.9839868

Spread0.02Mid0.82

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.81409409
0.8040449
0.78300749
0.7211760
0.7110770
0.7010780
0.48140920
0.374301,350
0.271701,520
0.26801,600
0.14101,610
0.10511,661

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
rando12345Yes1,063.6
FlightRadarYes40
2B9SYes20
SimsalarealYes18.65
K7fhp9vXm2Rtw4LbN8cGy3Ds6AoEYes10
SingletonFamilyFundNo384.72
papaseaonNo277.78
ArmageddonRewardsBillyNo200
AboveLookUpNo110
Dr.PNLNo62.26
AJSVNo32
GuyFromTinderNo21
HaradwaithNo20
parameter1No19.05
pootytherewardfarmerNo10
congmqian-gendanNo5.36
couleeNo5.04
123123..2No5.04

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
08:40:01SELLNo0.8122$17.82
06:29:14SELLNo0.8110$8.10
03:52:49BUYYes0.320$6.00
03:50:11BUYYes0.2420$4.80
02:40:01BUYNo0.8130$24.30
02:39:59BUYNo0.8099999994278$225.00
21:17:31SELLYes0.19146$27.74
21:07:31BUYNo0.8095336364110$89.05
21:06:42BUYYes0.2146$29.20
11:59:29BUYNo0.82999993055$4.18
11:59:27BUYNo0.82999993055$4.18
11:59:23SELLNo0.8154$123.20
09:51:17SELLNo0.741$0.84
09:19:41BUYYes0.250$10.00
09:19:41SELLNo0.808100$80.80
23:41:21SELLNo0.8287$71.34
20:55:30BUYNo0.8660$51.60
20:55:04SELLYes0.1765$10.99
20:54:28BUYNo0.82999996645$4.45
20:54:27SELLYes0.253092646738$9.53
20:52:39BUYYes0.16248$39.74
20:52:28SELLNo0.8442$35.55
20:52:13SELLNo0.8550$42.50
20:52:13SELLNo0.8520$17.00
20:52:13BUYYes0.1520$3.00