FlightRadar
0x152e773b1986b1c885917a4c9d6cf8d1956f9963
- Realised P&L
- $469.65
- Volume
- $26.2k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$154.47at 0.662SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
- +$124.39at 0.569 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$118.88at 0.535Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$92.00at 0.540US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$35.18at 0.674US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:50 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 15:36 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.47 | $47.00 |
| 09-17 14:41 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.47 | $47.00 |
| 09-15 11:44 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $16.00 |
| 09-11 11:54 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6 | $24.00 |
| 09-10 18:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | SELL | 0.56 | $35.95 |
| 09-09 16:12 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $20.00 |
| 09-08 19:39 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 17:58 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $34.40 |
| 09-08 17:56 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $105.30 |
| 09-08 07:45 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.50 |
| 09-07 11:24 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 09-05 21:28 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999548 | $10.00 |
| 09-05 13:50 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $21.90 |
| 09-04 19:49 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.6108374186 | $10.00 |