PolyBot

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Traders

FlightRadar

0x152e773b1986b1c885917a4c9d6cf8d1956f9963

Realised P&L
$469.65
Volume
$26.2k
Markets traded
112
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded112
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 19:50Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$20.00
09-17 15:36Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.47$47.00
09-17 14:41Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.47$47.00
09-15 11:44Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.008$16.00
09-11 11:54Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6$24.00
09-10 18:08Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?SELL0.56$35.95
09-09 16:12Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.629999995$20.00
09-08 19:39US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.6199999864$10.00
09-08 17:58US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.86$34.40
09-08 17:56Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.81$105.30
09-08 07:45Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.006$1.50
09-07 11:24Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.49$9.80
09-05 21:28NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7799999548$10.00
09-05 13:50Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.73$21.90
09-04 19:49Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.6108374186$10.00