PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rando12345

0xb401123e33dbbe1d575c4ee4f30c714a2819df2a

Realised P&L
$15.5k
Volume
$1.95M
Markets traded
513
Open portfolio
$63.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded513
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.5000.839$33.5k+$13.5k
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.162$6.5k−$13.5k
Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9800.975$5.6k−$28.54
Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9240.944$1.6k+$33.25
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.9340.935$1.6k+$2.81
USDE depeg by December 31? · No0.8540.976$1.5k+$190.57
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50 and $2.60 in October? · No0.9840.999$1.2k+$17.12
DAI depeg by December 31? · No0.7810.970$1.1k+$207.09
Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8580.920$1.0k+$69.46
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October? · Yes0.5260.670$988.50+$212.56
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes0.8500.940$939.50+$89.50
Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7290.805$920.45+$86.65
Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9260.959$862.13+$29.56
Will Ethena reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8290.930$805.61+$87.47
Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9410.961$621.75+$12.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 14:20Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?SELL0.6$3.00
11-01 14:19Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?BUY0.62$92.60
11-01 14:18Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?BUY0.6$48.00
11-01 14:16Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30 and $2.40 in October?BUY0.11$2.20
11-01 03:45Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026?BUY0.15$30.50
11-01 03:45Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026?BUY0.14$31.02
10-31 10:21Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?SELL0.21$81.71
10-30 22:11Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.985$39.40
10-30 22:05Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in October?SELL0.821889784$160.18
10-30 01:19Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9157979749$37.99
10-30 01:04Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9059956261$111.85
10-30 01:04Will Ethena dip to $0.12 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7370724813$219.04
10-29 21:02Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50 and $2.60 in October?BUY0.999$256.87
10-29 20:57Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?SELL0.3223648649$143.13
10-29 01:11Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00 and $2.10 in October?BUY0.919$0.90