PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rando12345

0xb401123e33dbbe1d575c4ee4f30c714a2819df2a

Realised P&L
$14.0k
Volume
$1.90M
Markets traded
480
Open portfolio
$61.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded480
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.5000.818$40.9k+$15.9k
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.182$9.1k$15.9k
USDE depeg by December 31? · No0.8450.950$1.4k+$150.97
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes0.8500.935$935.00+$85.00
DAI depeg by December 31? · No0.7150.939$757.85+$180.31
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.6620.725$727.16+$63.09
Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.950$646.11+$0.10
Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8610.855$599.54$3.99
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8290.690$553.38$111.16
Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8990.885$525.39$8.56
Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9070.940$485.67+$17.04
USDS depeg by December 31? · No0.8070.945$459.15+$66.81
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.7470.885$383.24+$59.86
GHO depeg by December 31? · No0.6970.964$380.39+$105.27
PYUSD depeg by December 31? · No0.9300.945$366.22+$5.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 04:15Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30 and $2.40 in September?BUY0.76$76.00
09-15 18:58USDTb depeg by December 31?BUY0.69$13.80
09-15 00:10Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?BUY0.98$4.90
09-14 20:47Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?BUY0.99$361.34
09-14 10:27Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in September?BUY0.1886665778$28.30
09-12 15:48Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00 and $2.10 in September?SELL0.979$20.56
09-12 14:33Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50 and $2.60 in September?BUY0.92$216.20
09-12 14:31PYUSD depeg by December 31?BUY0.95$142.50
09-12 14:31PYUSD depeg by December 31?BUY0.94$103.75
09-12 14:30USDS depeg by December 31?BUY0.95$19.00
09-12 14:30USDE depeg by December 31?BUY0.958$19.16
09-12 14:30USDE depeg by December 31?BUY0.953$19.06
09-12 14:30USDE depeg by December 31?BUY0.9455$37.82
09-12 14:30PYUSD depeg by December 31?BUY0.93$83.04
09-12 14:29USDTb depeg by December 31?BUY0.6464456722$21.06