rando12345
0xb401123e33dbbe1d575c4ee4f30c714a2819df2a
- Realised P&L
- $15.5k
- Volume
- $1.95M
- Markets traded
- 513
- Open portfolio
- $63.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded513
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.0kat 0.551Ethereum all time high by September 30?
- +$4.4kat 0.573Will Ethereum reach $5000 August 25–31?
- +$3.1kat 0.035Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
- +$3.1kat 0.995Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
- +$2.6kat 0.500Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 600,000 and 900,000 voters?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:20 | Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October? | SELL | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 14:19 | Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October? | BUY | 0.62 | $92.60 |
| 11-01 14:18 | Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October? | BUY | 0.6 | $48.00 |
| 11-01 14:16 | Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30 and $2.40 in October? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 11-01 03:45 | Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $30.50 |
| 11-01 03:45 | Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $31.02 |
| 10-31 10:21 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.21 | $81.71 |
| 10-30 22:11 | Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $39.40 |
| 10-30 22:05 | Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in October? | SELL | 0.821889784 | $160.18 |
| 10-30 01:19 | Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9157979749 | $37.99 |
| 10-30 01:04 | Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9059956261 | $111.85 |
| 10-30 01:04 | Will Ethena dip to $0.12 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7370724813 | $219.04 |
| 10-29 21:02 | Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50 and $2.60 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $256.87 |
| 10-29 20:57 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.3223648649 | $143.13 |
| 10-29 01:11 | Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00 and $2.10 in October? | BUY | 0.919 | $0.90 |