PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Simsalareal

0xc0593b7705c0329827836597fa58725abf1a8eb5

Realised P&L
$-224.99
Volume
$6.1k
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$28.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Behemoth!" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.5500.355$7.10−$3.90
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.2950.309$6.19+$0.29
Will Ajax finish top 8 in UECL league phase? · Yes0.2900.290$5.80+$0.00
Will "The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.3400.215$4.30−$2.50
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1900.180$3.36−$0.19
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30? · Yes0.2200.240$1.20+$0.10
Will Listen win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1000.015$0.30−$1.70
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$28.17
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic · Novak Djokovic0.2000.000$0.00−$4.59
Spain to win the second half? · No0.4900.000$0.00−$2.46
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals · No0.4800.000$0.00−$2.45
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs · G2 Esports0.7800.000$0.00−$4.00
Spread: Spain (-1.5) · Spain0.2370.000$0.00−$2.25
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5) · G2 Esports0.6300.000$0.00−$3.25
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff · Coco Gauff0.4500.000$0.00−$3.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 13:19Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.147$7.35
10-14 11:23Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October?SELL0.26$5.20
10-14 10:23Will Dominik Greif (Lyon) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?SELL0.18$2.52
10-14 07:20Will Trudy peak at Category 4?SELL0.42737$8.55
10-14 06:40Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $427,000 and $437,000 on December 31?SELL0.05$0.50
10-14 02:05Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of October 12 2026?SELL0.751$15.02
10-14 01:37Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $427,000 and $437,000 on December 31?SELL0.05$1.00
10-14 01:31Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $176 in October?SELL0.48$9.60
10-14 01:00Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 12 2026?SELL0.09$1.80
10-13 23:31Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $165 Week of October 12 2026?SELL0.17$1.87
10-13 22:35Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $427,000 and $437,000 on December 31?SELL0.06$1.80
10-13 21:42Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $547.50 Week of October 12 2026?SELL0.18$0.36
10-13 21:42Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $547.50 Week of October 12 2026?SELL0.26$6.50
10-13 13:03Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?SELL0.712$18.38
10-13 12:39Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 12 2026?SELL0.12$2.40