PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 30, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.003. down 0.132 over the period, from 0.135. Range 0.001 to 0.140. 137 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.005164164
0.027150314
0.028100414
0.04510424
0.0466430
0.04930460
0.0503463
0.069211674
0.070135809
0.07133841
0.07445886
0.07510896

Spread0.004Mid0.003

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.001402402

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.999402402

Spread0.004Mid0.997

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.995164164
0.973150314
0.972100414
0.95510424
0.9546430
0.95130460
0.9503463
0.931211674
0.930135809
0.92933841
0.92645886
0.92510896

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes4,522.26
HippoMaroYes3,388.72
2B9SYes749.53
lolspenkiYes598.29
dedidancYes500
speculativefireYes270
PiEDawgYes237.72
northdrawerYes195
GingerMcKennaYes163.41
74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.Yes150
mustbethewaterYes135
romanew-1-newYes125
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702Yes100.89
HaradwaithYes100
FihdrzgddYes86
NoTeacherYes77.2
e46m3Yes66.84
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468FYes64
CheChe-0Yes61.73
donthackmeYes61.06

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
15:32:12BUYYes0.001598$0.60
15:26:24BUYNo0.9973101622151$150.64
15:26:24BUYNo0.99785$84.75
15:26:24BUYNo0.99710$9.97
15:25:36BUYNo0.99741$40.68
14:23:36BUYNo0.99720$19.94
14:23:36BUYNo0.99740$39.88
12:57:42BUYNo0.9982$1.67
10:53:43BUYNo0.997342748139$39.20
10:53:43BUYNo0.99720$19.97
10:53:43BUYNo0.99740$39.88
10:52:06BUYNo0.99720$19.94
07:23:34BUYNo0.9995$5.00
07:23:34BUYNo0.9995$5.00
07:23:34BUYNo0.9998$7.99
07:20:30BUYNo0.99926$26.10
04:33:13SELLYes0.006240$1.44
04:00:03BUYNo0.99224$23.93
03:59:55BUYNo0.9810$9.80
03:59:55BUYNo0.9852$51.03
03:59:54SELLYes0.0250$1.00
03:44:02SELLYes0.025$0.10
03:43:41BUYNo0.9791$1.26
03:31:27BUYYes0.019153$2.91
03:19:51BUYNo0.99211$10.91