henki-604
0x3fef8666f0fcc24ea860de83a7b5e04f21f8589e
- Realised P&L
- $-41.97
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $45.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.145 | $9.67 | −$0.33 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · No | 0.015 | 0.015 | $9.67 | −$0.33 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026? · No | 0.258 | 0.241 | $9.37 | −$0.63 |
| OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31? · No | 0.150 | 0.135 | $9.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will there be no next Claude Opus model release by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.025 | $4.37 | −$0.63 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · No | 0.010 | 0.007 | $3.50 | −$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-5.35at 0.011Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
- +$-10.34at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
- +$-26.28at 0.284Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 05:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 05:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 05:45 | Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30? | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 05:42 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 05:10 | OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31? | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 05:04 | Will there be no next Claude Opus model release by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0280035121 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 04:58 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2577232041 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 04:53 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.015 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 04:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999988 | $25.00 |
| 09-22 04:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |