PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-31
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.84. up 0.40 over the period, from 0.43. Range 0.43 to 0.84. 133 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.916969
0.922999
0.9364163
0.9467230
0.9510240
0.9650290
0.97270560
0.985501,110
0.991141,225

Spread0.12Mid0.85

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.7966
0.781521
0.762041
0.7082123
0.488131
0.4717148
0.4613160
0.455165
0.4230195
0.41155350
0.4062412
0.0945457

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.2166
0.221521
0.242041
0.3082123
0.528131
0.5317148
0.5413160
0.555165
0.5830195
0.59155350
0.6062412
0.9145457

Spread0.12Mid0.15

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.096969
0.082999
0.0764163
0.0667230
0.0510240
0.0450290
0.03270560
0.025501,110
0.011141,225

Top holders

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
06:24:33BUYYes0.7320$14.60
06:14:32BUYYes0.7320$14.60
06:12:02SELLYes0.718$12.72
10:19:12BUYNo0.335974332138$12.83
10:19:06BUYNo0.3316$5.14
06:46:42BUYYes0.8720$17.40
02:38:47BUYYes0.7551960076235$177.81
05:16:51BUYYes0.726$4.32
02:11:27BUYNo0.5516$8.53
01:10:14BUYNo0.3916$6.24
01:10:06BUYNo0.440$16.00
22:55:03SELLYes0.664$2.73
22:54:20SELLYes0.6707520$13.41
22:54:18SELLYes0.73248$181.04
12:09:20SELLNo0.229090909122$5.04
13:07:15BUYYes0.7812$9.36
13:07:15BUYYes0.7815$11.70
11:40:48BUYYes0.498$3.90
09:34:24BUYYes0.4910$4.90
09:21:44BUYYes0.48999982852$1.00
07:40:42BUYYes0.45999995644$1.90
07:37:51SELLNo0.5120$10.20
07:37:50BUYYes0.4528764045445$201.53
06:51:59BUYNo0.5611$6.23
00:45:25BUYNo0.5720$11.40