PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

MoonNight123

0x2720557a235c614716204f51a82d4d6aa97830e1

Realised P&L
$9.16
Volume
$310.22
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$27.20

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? · No0.8050.993$5.96+$1.13
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.7200.984$5.90+$1.58
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8500.925$4.63+$0.38
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · No0.6400.465$3.25$1.22
Will Israel election happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9100.958$2.87+$0.14
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027? · No0.9200.905$2.71$0.04
Will CS2 Add a Shootout OT by December 31? · No0.9300.940$1.88+$0.02
Israel military action against Yemen by July 14? · Yes0.8000.000$0.00$4.00
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot · Valentin Vacherot0.8300.000$0.00$4.98
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be less than 10,000? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00$4.80
Brady vs. Gray: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 · Over0.8100.000$0.00$4.86
Spread: Canada (-3.5) · Qatar0.8700.000$0.00$4.35
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026? · No0.8960.000$0.00$1.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 15:40Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?BUY0.92$2.76
08-01 05:18Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $170 in August?BUY0.71$4.97
08-01 05:16Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.72$4.32
07-28 15:56Will Israel election happen as scheduled?BUY0.91$2.73
07-18 15:23Will CS2 Add a Shootout OT by December 31?BUY0.93$1.86
07-18 15:22Will Pep Guardiola be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?BUY0.89$1.78
07-18 08:23Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 20,000-30,000?BUY0.85$3.40
07-18 08:22Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?BUY0.31$3.10
07-18 08:11Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?BUY0.896$1.79
07-18 08:10Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be less than 10,000?BUY0.6$4.80
07-18 08:10Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 total capital expenditures be above $38B?BUY0.7$3.50
07-15 22:19Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin VacherotBUY0.83$4.98
07-14 01:01Set 1 Winner: Wolf vs FentyBUY0.3$3.60
07-14 00:35Israel military action against Yemen by July 14?BUY0.8$4.00
07-13 12:54Set Handicap: Mrva (-1.5) vs Caniato (+1.5)BUY0.7$4.90