PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sand1

0x34d0f35dee283bb7272f59220818007a6af4264e

Realised P&L
$1.4k
Volume
$91.5k
Markets traded
451
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded451
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will any other model be the best AI model on October 5, 2026? · Yes0.9090.920$428.48+$4.86
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8960.998$159.91+$16.33
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 5, 2026? · No0.9440.970$107.86+$2.84
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher? · No0.9330.928$92.85−$0.51
Will Qwen have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? · No0.9800.995$69.61+$1.01
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8330.977$68.36+$10.06
Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8130.813$68.28+$0.00
Will Nvidia have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? · No0.9740.945$50.41−$1.53
Will xAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? · No0.9800.945$48.20−$1.80
Will Qwen have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? · No0.9800.820$41.83−$8.17
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026? · No0.8800.988$39.50+$4.30
Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? · No0.9800.945$38.57−$1.43
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? · Yes0.9750.960$38.38−$0.62
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.9420.944$37.76+$0.08
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.9450.938$37.52−$0.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 11:08Will Meta have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?BUY0.9702970262$33.34
09-28 11:08Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?BUY0.98$40.00
09-28 11:08Will xAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?BUY0.9801980196$50.00
09-28 11:08Will Qwen have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?BUY0.9801980196$50.00
09-28 10:59Will MiniMax have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?BUY0.9801980004$20.00
09-28 10:59Will Nvidia have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?BUY0.9737495313$51.94
09-28 10:58Will xAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?BUY0.98$19.60
09-28 10:58Will Tencent have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?BUY0.98$9.80
09-28 10:58Will Anthropic have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?BUY0.98$19.60
09-28 10:58Will MiniMax have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?BUY0.98$19.60
09-28 10:57Will Xiaomi have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?BUY0.98$19.60
09-28 10:57Will Z.ai have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?BUY0.98$19.60
09-28 10:57Will xAI have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?BUY0.98$7.34
09-28 10:54Will MiniMax have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?BUY0.98$19.60
09-28 10:54Will Qwen have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?BUY0.98$68.60