lihpare
0x4fe26282f10c7903a1af09fa376af8d885ba87c5
- Realised P&L
- $5.3k
- Volume
- $1.51M
- Markets traded
- 1,036
- Open portfolio
- $52.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,036
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.698Solana all time high before 2026?
- +$3.1kat 0.766US recession in 2025?
- +$2.2kat 0.692Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?
- +$1.4kat 0.669Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.313Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 11:55 | Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 75,000 and 80,000? | BUY | 0.787 | $289.61 |
| 10-25 11:43 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $406.56 |
| 10-25 11:42 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $43.19 |
| 10-25 11:40 | Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.9569762558 | $366.36 |
| 10-18 04:24 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027? | BUY | 0.9686992481 | $257.67 |
| 10-18 04:23 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? | BUY | 0.69 | $344.99 |
| 10-05 15:21 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? | BUY | 0.977 | $572.52 |
| 10-01 04:32 | Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.7491012702 | $648.72 |
| 09-25 14:17 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.918 | $148.50 |
| 09-25 14:16 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $389.70 |
| 09-25 14:15 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.986 | $185.37 |
| 09-25 14:12 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September? | BUY | 0.969 | $268.41 |
| 09-25 13:51 | Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $532.98 |
| 09-25 13:50 | Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $532.04 |
| 09-25 13:50 | Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.959 | $20.19 |