lihpare
0x4fe26282f10c7903a1af09fa376af8d885ba87c5
- Realised P&L
- $10.4k
- Volume
- $1.50M
- Markets traded
- 1,003
- Open portfolio
- $31.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,003
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.698Solana all time high before 2026?
- +$3.1kat 0.766US recession in 2025?
- +$2.6kat 0.743Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?
- +$2.2kat 0.692Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?
- +$1.4kat 0.669Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 07:37 | Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 75,000 and 80,000? | BUY | 0.93 | $340.38 |
| 09-17 07:07 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.95 | $337.25 |
| 09-17 07:05 | Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.77 | $142.88 |
| 09-17 06:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.973 | $182.92 |
| 09-17 06:48 | Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $336.72 |
| 09-17 06:47 | Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9694500683 | $568.10 |
| 09-17 06:46 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.89 | $352.44 |
| 09-17 06:42 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.9 | $527.40 |
| 09-16 17:40 | Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September? | BUY | 0.98 | $641.90 |
| 09-16 17:38 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.945 | $199.78 |
| 09-16 17:29 | Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $67.50 |
| 09-16 17:24 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9693589744 | $75.61 |
| 09-16 17:23 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17? | BUY | 0.979 | $652.01 |
| 09-16 17:20 | Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $67.72 |
| 09-16 17:18 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.91 | $515.97 |