PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 15, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-16
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.89. up 0.20 over the period, from 0.69. Range 0.65 to 0.94. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.90146146
0.91104250
0.92140390
0.93203593
0.944161,009
0.952051,214
0.961251,339
0.973471,686
0.99531,739

Spread0.02Mid0.89

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.88135135
0.87101235
0.8620255
0.83113368
0.7950418
0.4850468
0.1141509
0.1051560
0.037567
0.0211578
0.0174652

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.12135135
0.13101235
0.1420255
0.17113368
0.2150418
0.5250468
0.8941509
0.9051560
0.977567
0.9811578
0.9974652

Spread0.02Mid0.11

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.10146146
0.09104250
0.08140390
0.07203593
0.064161,009
0.052051,214
0.041251,339
0.033471,686
0.01531,739

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Hugin-og-MuninYes948.42
Bersa1202Yes651.93
LornaPredictsYes138.12
Elias.ThornwellYes122.77
0x435e…3f72Yes121
ArmageddonRewardsBillyYes60.4
predictdogepepewifYes50
0x888888888Yes49
4ts3hcYes40.54
BeRaLeYes37.61
parameter1Yes20
Dr.PNLYes8.77
noname-Yes6.55
glebbubnoffYes1.12
dedidancNo1,134.98
AJSVNo128.32
navberNo122.77
tradetosurvive1No115
0x14a1…9912No112.58
ScootSnipperNo100

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:38:48SELLYes0.88100$88.00
13:30:23BUYNo0.129999999841$5.32
13:30:12BUYNo0.129999999841$5.32
13:25:32BUYNo0.129999999841$5.32
01:36:27BUYYes0.7669483084652$500.00
23:22:45SELLNo0.2420$4.80
18:22:29BUYYes0.7227$19.73
15:54:30BUYNo0.1930$5.70
14:48:12BUYYes0.8283471074121$100.23
14:18:59SELLYes0.8612$9.98
14:06:18SELLNo0.1112$1.28
13:56:33BUYNo0.11999999048$1.00
13:47:18BUYNo0.06742001961,155$77.87
13:47:17BUYNo0.0851$4.08
04:13:38BUYNo0.0730$2.10
02:25:05BUYYes0.9520$19.00
02:25:03SELLNo0.0520$1.00
02:17:59SELLNo0.0520$1.00
22:09:12SELLYes0.932$1.86
22:01:51SELLYes0.933$2.43
22:01:51SELLYes0.9417$16.35
21:39:39SELLNo0.035313725520$0.72
21:39:35SELLNo0.1220$2.40
21:39:33BUYYes0.8653333333600$519.20
21:39:33BUYYes0.879820$17.60