glebbubnoff
0x310af9eb8c403667d791a7ce536a6d7272daacc8
- Realised P&L
- $-4.36
- Volume
- $118.32
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $3.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.435 | $1.28 | −$0.72 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.890 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.165 | $0.99 | −$0.03 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.83 |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 29, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.07at 0.410Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
- +$2.21at 0.718Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.54at 0.659Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 12:23 | US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.02 |
| 09-27 01:47 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 18:48 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999936 | $5.58 |
| 09-25 18:48 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $5.67 |
| 09-22 23:27 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.52 |
| 09-22 23:05 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 23:01 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 15:12 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999995 | $9.83 |
| 09-16 22:56 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999889 | $2.94 |