PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

glebbubnoff

0x310af9eb8c403667d791a7ce536a6d7272daacc8

Realised P&L
$-4.36
Volume
$118.32
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$3.27

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration44.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? · Yes0.6800.435$1.28−$0.72
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.8900.890$1.00+$0.00
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · Yes0.1700.165$0.99−$0.03
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$9.83
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 29, 2026? · No0.7400.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 12:23US x Cuba military clash in 2026?BUY0.17$1.02
09-27 01:47Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?BUY0.68$2.00
09-25 18:48Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7099999936$5.58
09-25 18:48Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?SELL0.9$5.67
09-22 23:27Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?BUY0.4$2.52
09-22 23:05Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 29, 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
09-22 23:01Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.889999911$1.00
09-17 15:12Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1199999995$9.83
09-16 22:56Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?BUY0.6499999889$2.94