0x14a1783e71d1d001a62c01fb2ad29aec8dbb9912
0x14a1783e71d1d001a62c01fb2ad29aec8dbb9912
- Realised P&L
- $-263.13
- Volume
- $28.4k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $380.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.42at 0.110US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.97at 0.022Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?
- +$0.36at 0.240Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?
- +$0.00at 0.120US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.350Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.37 | $14.43 |
| 09-24 05:49 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.664 | $2.83 |
| 09-24 05:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.9471326676 | $13.28 |
| 09-24 05:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 09-24 05:03 | Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | SELL | 0.25 | $36.27 |
| 09-24 04:26 | Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.773 | $20.69 |
| 09-24 03:30 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.54 |
| 09-24 02:27 | Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.793 | $76.92 |
| 09-23 23:02 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $21.90 |
| 09-23 22:41 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30? | SELL | 0.08 | $10.79 |
| 09-23 20:49 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $20.16 |
| 09-23 20:24 | CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30? | SELL | 0.76 | $167.96 |
| 09-23 20:24 | CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30? | SELL | 0.77 | $35.41 |
| 09-23 20:16 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? | SELL | 0.31 | $77.50 |
| 09-23 20:10 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.6 | $100.00 |