PolyBot

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Will the National Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-08
Resolves by
https://elections.nz/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.102. up 0.089 over the period, from 0.013. Range 0.005 to 0.178. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1352020
0.1702545
0.1711863
0.172100163
0.34375238
0.34455293
0.3506299
0.415150449
0.41630479
0.601400879
0.60240919
0.70440959

Spread0.065Mid0.103

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0704040
0.069747
0.068653
0.051861
0.05058118
0.0266124
0.02517141
0.02472213
0.0238221
0.02253274
0.02156330
0.020489819

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9304040
0.931747
0.932653
0.949861
0.95058118
0.9746124
0.97517141
0.97672213
0.9778221
0.97853274
0.97956330
0.980489819

Spread0.065Mid0.897

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8652020
0.8302545
0.8291863
0.828100163
0.65775238
0.65655293
0.6506299
0.585150449
0.58430479
0.399400879
0.39840919
0.29640959

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
xtxpleasecallmeYes215.02
hooooooooooldYes92.25
0xF03D13c94373E052a177601419291Ce2FAfE21Fb-1769526558724Yes88.78
0xd0d9…30f2Yes87
nc3iceibvtvetvbtYes67.56
LornaPredictsYes62.12
xiaoaojiangYes55
1walrusYes51.8
seal7Yes46.07
HaradwaithYes45.02
LavinceyYes26.15
86fghYes21.18
wozaitaibeiYes15
hdjdjdjhshhYes10
yiuyooYes10
nigletteYes7
velorotYes6.74
donthackmeYes5.56
Mojito9Yes5.2
milibaoYes5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
05:40:22BUYNo0.94211$10.46
20:32:34BUYYes0.042639205678$3.33
16:15:51BUYYes0.014414$0.20
08:00:33BUYYes0.01510$0.15
01:00:36BUYNo0.9915$4.96
22:11:19BUYNo0.9918237540$39.67
20:31:01BUYYes0.07421$1.55
19:57:12BUYNo0.9926$6.05
19:56:55BUYNo0.9925$4.96
08:00:08BUYYes0.00625$0.15
04:30:13BUYNo0.9955$4.97
03:32:19SELLYes0.00512$0.06
21:17:27SELLYes0.0055$0.03
11:29:32BUYNo0.99530$29.85
14:03:30BUYNo0.988623853222$21.55
11:10:56SELLYes0.0077$0.05
11:09:54BUYYes0.00645$0.27
04:18:57BUYNo0.9966$5.98
04:18:57BUYNo0.99613$12.75
05:19:38BUYYes0.003436292646$0.16
23:43:29SELLYes0.0022$0.00
14:05:20BUYYes0.00716$0.11
00:52:37BUYNo0.99399999914$4.42
00:52:37BUYNo0.99420$19.88
00:52:37BUYNo0.9923$2.54