PolyBot

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Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-08
Resolves by
https://elections.nz/
Rewards
50 min size · 8.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.41. up 0.07 over the period, from 0.34. Range 0.34 to 0.48. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.441616
0.46925
0.475075
0.6031106
0.6320126
0.6435161
0.6538198
0.7720218
0.858226
0.8624250
0.8720270
0.8816,66716,937

Spread0.06Mid0.41

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.381515
0.37295310
0.3450360
0.33100460
0.325465
0.315470
0.30300770
0.217777
0.203001,077
0.1651,082
0.1351,087
0.1151,092

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.621515
0.63295310
0.6650360
0.67100460
0.685465
0.695470
0.70300770
0.797777
0.803001,077
0.8451,082
0.8751,087
0.8951,092

Spread0.06Mid0.59

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.561616
0.54925
0.535075
0.4031106
0.3720126
0.3635161
0.3538198
0.2320218
0.158226
0.1424250
0.1320270
0.1216,66716,937

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
musicenthusiastYes264.8
1walrusYes194.66
0xd0d9…30f2Yes87
RetartsYes83.33
xtxpleasecallmeYes77.1
xiaoaojiangYes55
HaradwaithYes53.56
0xefE56C5AAD177D69071067B79bf0C75B7f4258Bc-1775534371375Yes30
0x2598bbD4983AD3e9afB4F525E96d685eb6CA17Df-1775227956933Yes25.8
lllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllYes16
Mojito9Yes15.5
wozaitaibeiYes15
LornaPredictsYes14.64
86fghYes11.3
hdjdjdjhshhYes10
yiuyooYes10
GrupoM4Yes5.13
tryrktryYes5
PollyForgeYes5
0xe50c19A43bDd336B171e481E5630dc5e8F73D88C-1780110031415Yes5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:13:36BUYNo0.635$3.15
12:51:25BUYNo0.609999998425$15.00
05:40:22BUYNo0.5811$6.44
17:00:03BUYYes0.415$2.05
01:00:34BUYYes0.45$2.00
22:11:18BUYNo0.5940$23.60
19:57:12BUYNo0.616$3.72
19:56:55BUYNo0.6116$9.76
19:56:55BUYNo0.615$3.05
16:33:55BUYYes0.3916$6.24
06:39:10BUYYes0.38999993375$2.00
04:30:13BUYNo0.635$3.15
16:30:56BUYYes0.377$2.57
07:06:05BUYNo0.647$4.44
06:56:05SELLYes0.357$2.55
01:49:42BUYNo0.6350$31.56
00:52:41BUYYes0.3680$28.75
11:29:30BUYNo0.6530$19.50
14:03:30BUYNo0.6522$14.17
08:33:38SELLYes0.3520$7.00
04:18:57BUYNo0.686$4.08
04:18:56BUYNo0.6713$8.58
04:18:56BUYNo0.6711$7.37
23:17:27SELLYes0.3398$32.46
17:53:45BUYNo0.648$4.80