musicenthusiast
0xb5e83a636f2d77c0c25e2d2abaca753ea204a5f9
- Realised P&L
- $18.7k
- Volume
- $391.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,108
- Open portfolio
- $43.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded1,108
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.236Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?
- +$899.49at 0.196Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?
- +$806.69at 0.157Will Kyle Campbell win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election?
- +$588.29at 0.232Will Patrick Johnstone win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election?
- +$547.19at 0.269Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:23 | Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Nuevo León Congress election? | BUY | 0.2090158792 | $31.99 |
| 11-02 00:22 | Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.78 | $39.00 |
| 11-02 00:14 | Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Nuevo León Congress election? | BUY | 0.2006708861 | $317.06 |
| 11-01 23:52 | Will Karin Prien be the next President of Germany? | SELL | 0.8675338245 | $259.05 |
| 11-01 23:21 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 27.5-30%? | BUY | 0.93 | $40.97 |
| 11-01 22:48 | Arizona passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting? | BUY | 0.45 | $9.12 |
| 11-01 22:44 | Will there be no next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026? | BUY | 0.482 | $72.30 |
| 11-01 22:40 | Will voters pick the Winchester Model 1873 "Gun that Won the West" (.44-40) as the state gun of Idaho? | BUY | 0.3833333333 | $23.00 |
| 11-01 22:33 | Will there be no next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026? | BUY | 0.3677192982 | $104.80 |
| 11-01 22:24 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.3490735078 | $23.74 |
| 11-01 21:57 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be 4,000,000 or more? | SELL | 0.8320151967 | $223.38 |
| 11-01 21:46 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be 4,000,000 or more? | SELL | 0.881 | $52.86 |
| 11-01 21:45 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be 4,000,000 or more? | SELL | 0.871 | $54.72 |
| 11-01 21:39 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be 4,000,000 or more? | BUY | 0.8181538989 | $668.14 |
| 11-01 21:39 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000? | BUY | 0.2239076246 | $79.82 |