PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

musicenthusiast

0xb5e83a636f2d77c0c25e2d2abaca753ea204a5f9

Realised P&L
$18.7k
Volume
$391.0k
Markets traded
1,108
Open portfolio
$43.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded1,108
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government? · No0.3490.401$1.3k+$160.78
Will Andile Lungisa be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay? · No0.7040.961$1.2k+$313.63
Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government? · No0.4060.440$1.1k+$84.94
Will Daniel Mullen win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election? · No0.7130.750$860.77+$43.26
Will Ignotas Adomavičius win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election? · No0.8530.938$814.04+$73.53
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 3,700,000 and 3,900,000? · No0.8340.950$760.55+$92.65
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000? · No0.8690.947$755.71+$61.93
Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government? · No0.8690.790$741.51−$74.37
Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election? · Yes0.7590.735$736.71−$24.12
Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Nuevo León Congress election? · Yes0.2070.421$720.76+$366.29
Will Barry Avotu Johnson win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election? · No0.8600.947$684.45+$62.90
Saxony-Anhalt snap election called by December 31, 2026? · No0.7760.850$676.04+$58.70
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 600,000 and 650,000? · No0.7820.929$573.50+$91.07
Will BNG win exactly 2 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes0.4910.575$556.78+$81.73
Will PP win the most seats in Albacete in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes0.7890.730$556.10−$45.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 00:23Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Nuevo León Congress election?BUY0.2090158792$31.99
11-02 00:22Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.78$39.00
11-02 00:14Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Nuevo León Congress election?BUY0.2006708861$317.06
11-01 23:52Will Karin Prien be the next President of Germany?SELL0.8675338245$259.05
11-01 23:21Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 27.5-30%?BUY0.93$40.97
11-01 22:48Arizona passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?BUY0.45$9.12
11-01 22:44Will there be no next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?BUY0.482$72.30
11-01 22:40Will voters pick the Winchester Model 1873 "Gun that Won the West" (.44-40) as the state gun of Idaho?BUY0.3833333333$23.00
11-01 22:33Will there be no next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?BUY0.3677192982$104.80
11-01 22:24Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election?BUY0.3490735078$23.74
11-01 21:57Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be 4,000,000 or more?SELL0.8320151967$223.38
11-01 21:46Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be 4,000,000 or more?SELL0.881$52.86
11-01 21:45Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be 4,000,000 or more?SELL0.871$54.72
11-01 21:39Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be 4,000,000 or more?BUY0.8181538989$668.14
11-01 21:39Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000?BUY0.2239076246$79.82