0xefE56C5AAD177D69071067B79bf0C75B7f4258Bc-1775534371375
0xefe56c5aad177d69071067b79bf0c75b7f4258bc
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $224.3k
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $131.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$670.40at 0.607Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
- +$190.03at 0.422Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
- +$120.61at 0.632Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$101.45at 0.374US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
- +$98.53at 0.770US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 21:04 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green? | SELL | 0.328 | $8.43 |
| 08-13 01:59 | Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 08-13 01:58 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.88 |
| 08-12 19:31 | Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand? | BUY | 0.084 | $2.52 |
| 08-12 19:30 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green? | SELL | 0.144 | $8.53 |
| 08-08 08:47 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 08-08 08:43 | Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 08:42 | Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 08:33 | Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | SELL | 0.49 | $5.54 |
| 08-08 08:32 | Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | SELL | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 07-27 21:23 | Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 07-27 21:19 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori? | BUY | 0.24 | $13.20 |
| 07-27 21:19 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori? | BUY | 0.24 | $9.60 |
| 07-27 21:11 | Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | SELL | 0.41 | $16.40 |
| 07-19 08:26 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green? | BUY | 0.056 | $1.68 |