PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xefE56C5AAD177D69071067B79bf0C75B7f4258Bc-1775534371375

0xefe56c5aad177d69071067b79bf0c75b7f4258bc

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$224.3k
Markets traded
120
Open portfolio
$131.52

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded120
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori? · Yes0.2570.185$34.68$13.45
Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.2960.455$27.30+$9.53
Will Green Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand? · Yes0.4470.760$14.18+$5.83
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green? · Yes0.0740.192$11.52+$7.10
Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.2840.190$11.40$5.65
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.3830.370$11.10$0.40
Will Te Pāti Māori be part of the next Government of New Zealand? · Yes0.4600.290$8.70$5.10
Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand? · No0.5850.525$6.17$0.70
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.3990.555$5.55+$1.56
Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.3700.060$0.91$4.64
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? · No0.7600.000$0.00$15.20
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? · No0.0320.000$0.00$68.92
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.8100.000$0.00$3.82
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · No0.2640.000$0.00$547.31
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.3190.000$0.00$3.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-15 21:04Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?SELL0.328$8.43
08-13 01:59Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?BUY0.35$1.75
08-13 01:58Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?BUY0.23$2.88
08-12 19:31Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?BUY0.084$2.52
08-12 19:30Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?SELL0.144$8.53
08-08 08:47Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?BUY0.23$4.60
08-08 08:43Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?BUY0.25$5.00
08-08 08:42Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?BUY0.25$5.00
08-08 08:33Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?SELL0.49$5.54
08-08 08:32Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?SELL0.52$2.60
07-27 21:23Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?BUY0.37$7.40
07-27 21:19Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?BUY0.24$13.20
07-27 21:19Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?BUY0.24$9.60
07-27 21:11Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?SELL0.41$16.40
07-19 08:26Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?BUY0.056$1.68