Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.14. up 0.02 over the period, from 0.12. Range 0.07 to 0.16. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.15	284	284
0.16	138	422
0.17	20	442
0.18	20	462
0.19	199	660
0.22	10	670
0.23	16	686
0.28	20	706
0.29	20	726
0.30	20	746
0.46	20	766
0.50	520	1,286

Spread0.03Mid0.14

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.12	189	189
0.11	67	256
0.09	75	331
0.07	25	356
0.06	12	369
0.05	80	449
0.04	108	556
0.01	36	592

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.88	189	189
0.89	67	256
0.91	75	331
0.93	25	356
0.94	12	369
0.95	80	449
0.96	108	556
0.99	36	592

Spread0.03Mid0.86

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.85	284	284
0.84	138	422
0.83	20	442
0.82	20	462
0.81	199	660
0.78	10	670
0.77	16	686
0.72	20	706
0.71	20	726
0.70	20	746
0.54	20	766
0.50	520	1,286

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
singularityman	Yes	732.01
whispercatalyst	Yes	552.23
Dr.PNL	Yes	397.14
Yeahsingularityyah	Yes	283.29
0x8Df92602EC9c454E8099D9dc4A3F0d21DaA0468C-1766855317883	Yes	282.55
lineth	Yes	218
MWM	Yes	215.94
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	126.56
0x72727f158295dCA92Da2e71F406399D1CB351A25-1783215702812	Yes	109.06
SuperTests	Yes	77
folioquant	Yes	49.99
0x4E9ED2cd47D3bD4140dcf35B9037cBb9B2746F3E-1779346567590	Yes	48
robert-mukhametov	Yes	23
mskl	Yes	22
aliiz	Yes	20
koyas2	Yes	20
wallet-account-test	Yes	20
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	13.55
ab54545ba	Yes	13.33
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9	Yes	11.57

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
18:18:15	SELL	No	0.86	20	$17.20
04:27:36	SELL	Yes	0.11	3	$0.28
03:42:43	BUY	Yes	0.1399999982	11	$1.52
03:42:31	SELL	No	0.86	20	$17.20
03:42:25	BUY	Yes	0.1247473713	98	$12.25
03:42:24	BUY	Yes	0.12	23	$2.70
03:42:24	BUY	Yes	0.12	48	$5.76
15:18:19	SELL	No	0.8905	20	$17.81
15:17:58	SELL	No	0.9	9	$8.10
15:17:55	SELL	No	0.9	80	$72.00
11:08:46	SELL	Yes	0.08	23	$1.84
12:56:14	BUY	Yes	0.09	20	$1.80
12:35:53	BUY	Yes	0.09	20	$1.80
11:35:53	BUY	Yes	0.08	45	$3.60
19:04:47	SELL	No	0.91	2	$1.62
21:46:39	SELL	Yes	0.1	51	$5.10
21:46:30	BUY	No	0.88	221	$194.11
21:46:30	BUY	No	0.9099999985	20	$17.80
21:46:30	BUY	No	0.90625	40	$36.25
21:46:30	BUY	No	0.91	20	$18.20
21:46:30	BUY	No	0.91	24	$21.84
21:46:29	BUY	No	0.9	20	$18.00
01:42:56	BUY	Yes	0.14	40	$5.60
04:12:29	SELL	No	0.9	5	$4.50
10:34:32	BUY	Yes	0.11	40	$4.40