PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Resolves by
https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.17. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.17. Range 0.15 to 0.20. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.18477477
0.19180657
0.2044702
0.2221723
0.2515737
0.2911748
0.3020768
0.355001,268
0.365001,768
0.431001,868
0.56201,888
0.745002,388

Spread0.01Mid0.17

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.17477477
0.166141,092
0.158791,971
0.125002,471
0.111002,571
0.101002,671
0.091622,833
0.05122,844
0.04202,864
0.032503,114
0.028483,963
0.012,0005,963

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.83477477
0.846141,092
0.858791,971
0.885002,471
0.891002,571
0.901002,671
0.911622,833
0.95122,844
0.96202,864
0.972503,114
0.988483,963
0.992,0005,963

Spread0.01Mid0.82

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.82477477
0.81180657
0.8044702
0.7821723
0.7515737
0.7111748
0.7020768
0.655001,268
0.645001,768
0.571001,868
0.44201,888
0.265002,388

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
linethYes218
singularitymanYes135
pootytherewardfarmerYes88
bechamelYes50
aliizYes45.26
0x2247…4304Yes20
msklYes10
AJSVYes6.31
OlcanNo411.86
LornaPredictsNo100
AMAM13No21
Damien3030No20
LastOrderNo10
monoclithNo9.33
DanatraNo1.2

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:22:11SELLNo0.820$0.01
07:50:18BUYNo0.8168$55.08
19:33:50SELLNo0.820$16.00
18:16:48SELLNo0.8120$16.20
18:16:42BUYYes0.1722018349218$37.54
10:46:05SELLYes0.1720$3.40
21:00:19SELLNo0.87$5.22
20:50:22SELLNo0.820$16.00
20:45:59BUYNo0.809999953520$16.19
20:45:55SELLNo0.833004511367$55.39
20:45:53BUYYes0.16150$24.00
16:34:04BUYYes0.1610$1.60
20:11:30SELLYes0.1621$3.29
19:30:52SELLYes0.1650$8.00
17:29:04BUYNo0.7814235567319$249.32
17:09:57BUYYes0.2320$4.60
05:06:28BUYYes0.1850$9.00
05:06:24SELLNo0.8250$41.00
01:48:40SELLNo0.811$0.97
01:48:24SELLNo0.814$2.92
01:48:21SELLNo0.8250$41.00
01:48:00BUYYes0.17759789267$11.97
01:47:51BUYYes0.17135$22.95
18:02:57BUYNo0.7920$15.80
14:46:58BUYNo0.82999990871$1.00