Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.14. down 0.02 over the period, from 0.17. Range 0.14 to 0.17. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.15	610	610
0.16	170	780
0.17	12	792
0.18	426	1,218
0.21	162	1,379
0.26	9	1,389
0.27	11	1,400
0.30	20	1,420
0.31	500	1,920
0.34	500	2,420
0.46	500	2,920
0.74	500	3,420

Spread0.01Mid0.15

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.14	450	450
0.13	186	635
0.10	40	675
0.09	735	1,410
0.08	744	2,154
0.07	570	2,724
0.06	67	2,790
0.05	574	3,365
0.04	60	3,425
0.03	20	3,445
0.02	756	4,201
0.01	1,250	5,451

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.86	450	450
0.87	186	635
0.90	40	675
0.91	735	1,410
0.92	744	2,154
0.93	570	2,724
0.94	67	2,790
0.95	574	3,365
0.96	60	3,425
0.97	20	3,445
0.98	756	4,201
0.99	1,250	5,451

Spread0.01Mid0.85

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.85	610	610
0.84	170	780
0.83	12	792
0.82	426	1,218
0.79	162	1,379
0.74	9	1,389
0.73	11	1,400
0.70	20	1,420
0.69	500	1,920
0.66	500	2,420
0.54	500	2,920
0.26	500	3,420

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
singularityman	Yes	732.01
banestow	Yes	346.83
Yeahsingularityyah	Yes	283.29
lineth	Yes	218
MWM	Yes	215.94
dry-september	Yes	161.55
whispercatalyst	Yes	106.79
SuperTests	Yes	77
folioquant	Yes	49.99
mskl	Yes	35
aliiz	Yes	20
wallet-account-test	Yes	20
Dr.PNL	Yes	12.17
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	10
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	6.34
79fsdfs	Yes	4.16
pmqianbaolaile	Yes	1.2
Olcan	No	789.65
InterestingUser	No	600.49
Djibooty	No	424.09

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
17:09:31	BUY	Yes	0.15	10	$1.53
17:09:30	SELL	No	0.85	9	$7.65
07:48:49	BUY	Yes	0.15	5	$0.75
11:54:43	SELL	Yes	0.14	2	$0.31
22:41:49	BUY	Yes	0.16	18	$2.88
21:36:24	BUY	Yes	0.16	40	$6.40
16:05:30	SELL	Yes	0.16	12	$1.95
16:05:27	SELL	Yes	0.17	12	$2.07
16:05:25	SELL	Yes	0.17	40	$6.80
16:57:12	SELL	Yes	0.14	2	$0.31
16:36:09	SELL	No	0.82	5	$4.10
14:22:28	SELL	No	0.84	5	$4.20
10:06:36	SELL	No	0.83	5	$4.15
09:06:33	SELL	No	0.83	5	$4.15
00:44:22	SELL	No	0.82	20	$16.40
23:41:52	BUY	Yes	0.1764979278	283	$50.00
10:45:28	BUY	Yes	0.17	39	$6.59
00:23:13	SELL	No	0.83	20	$16.60
00:23:04	SELL	No	0.8354054054	37	$30.91
00:23:01	BUY	Yes	0.16	77	$12.32
16:21:04	SELL	No	0.84	15	$12.87
03:50:37	SELL	No	0.843239188	23	$19.11
03:50:36	SELL	No	0.85	3	$2.26
03:50:34	BUY	Yes	0.1499999978	23	$3.40
03:50:33	BUY	Yes	0.1499999978	23	$3.40