koyas2
0x44675bd9310ade574df9a7b09a97879b843aeaf9
- Realised P&L
- $14.96
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $286.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.76at 0.412Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$3.34at 0.257Will Sheldon Creed win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?
- +$3.15at 0.808Will Ariana Grande win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?
- +$2.62at 0.359Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?
- +$2.22at 0.239Will Marc Marquez win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 21:30 | Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.061 | $0.02 |
| 10-13 08:44 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.55 | $1.10 |
| 10-13 03:44 | Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? | SELL | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 10-13 02:21 | Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027? | SELL | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 10-11 15:54 | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | SELL | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 10-11 04:42 | Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.33 | $2.63 |
| 10-10 21:41 | Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | SELL | 0.7 | $3.85 |
| 10-10 16:37 | Will Bad Bunny be the #2 searched person on Google this year? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.05 |
| 10-10 01:40 | Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.80 |
| 10-09 22:24 | Will Ron Nirenberg win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election? | BUY | 0.973 | $9.73 |
| 10-09 17:14 | Will Robert Luna win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election? | BUY | 0.954 | $4.77 |
| 10-09 17:06 | Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 10-09 17:06 | Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 10-09 15:16 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? | SELL | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 14:42 | Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.80 |