0x0fa25657d1dd7d5152ce9f5f0e28a696549905aa
0x0fa25657d1dd7d5152ce9f5f0e28a696549905aa
- Realised P&L
- $3.6k
- Volume
- $111.7k
- Markets traded
- 992
- Open portfolio
- $4.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded992
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$104.90at 0.512Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
- +$80.28at 0.565Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
- +$80.18at 0.127Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?
- +$70.59at 0.520Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
- +$68.08at 0.821Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:34 | Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year? | BUY | 0.8399999941 | $17.00 |
| 11-01 21:22 | Will Omar Cooper Jr. win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | SELL | 0.077 | $2.08 |
| 11-01 21:11 | Will Omar Cooper Jr. win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | SELL | 0.082 | $0.66 |
| 11-01 21:04 | Tom Holland as Spider-Man? | SELL | 0.54 | $3.78 |
| 11-01 20:10 | Will Otzma Yehudit be in the next Israeli government? | SELL | 0.8 | $11.20 |
| 11-01 20:09 | Will Otzma Yehudit be in the next Israeli government? | SELL | 0.79 | $1.58 |
| 11-01 20:06 | Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $2.50 |
| 11-01 20:01 | Will David Lisnard win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.802 | $16.20 |
| 11-01 19:42 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.5799999882 | $2.95 |
| 11-01 19:13 | Will Otzma Yehudit be in the next Israeli government? | BUY | 0.2599999917 | $1.89 |
| 11-01 19:10 | Will the Jacksonville Jaguars be the AFC #1 seed for the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.44 |
| 11-01 18:32 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027? | BUY | 0.169999978 | $1.08 |
| 11-01 18:21 | Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.4399999452 | $2.25 |
| 11-01 17:54 | Tom Holland as Spider-Man? | SELL | 0.54 | $4.32 |
| 11-01 17:42 | Tom Holland as Spider-Man? | SELL | 0.54 | $2.70 |