0x72727f158295dCA92Da2e71F406399D1CB351A25-1783215702812
0x72727f158295dca92da2e71f406399d1cb351a25
- Realised P&L
- $-171.58
- Volume
- $28.2k
- Markets traded
- 244
- Open portfolio
- $8.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded244
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$288.19at 0.520Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
- +$48.36at 0.904Jinan: Siddhant Banthia vs James McCabe
- +$46.26at 0.627Spread: Marist (-3.5)
- +$35.25at 0.651Will the fight end before Round 2?
- +$31.52at 0.720Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:08 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat? | BUY | 0.3399999958 | $4.81 |
| 11-01 21:07 | Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? | BUY | 0.4199999321 | $2.35 |
| 11-01 21:07 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.19 |
| 11-01 20:15 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999975 | $27.55 |
| 11-01 19:51 | Will “Somewhere Over Laredo” by Lainey Wilson win Single of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | BUY | 0.0699999987 | $2.20 |
| 11-01 19:42 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 11-01 19:40 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.8199999368 | $4.15 |
| 11-01 19:31 | Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | BUY | 0.9244003905 | $66.12 |
| 11-01 19:16 | Jaguars vs. Ravens | BUY | 0.6299999907 | $31.04 |
| 11-01 19:16 | Jaguars vs. Ravens | BUY | 0.6299999719 | $7.84 |
| 11-01 18:35 | Spread: Ravens (-2.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $3.85 |
| 11-01 18:34 | Spread: Ravens (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4699999962 | $2.45 |
| 11-01 18:23 | Will Monterrey win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? | BUY | 0.9389999937 | $23.56 |
| 11-01 17:46 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.34 | $26.18 |
| 11-01 17:34 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.299999999 | $30.38 |