PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x72727f158295dCA92Da2e71F406399D1CB351A25-1783215702812

0x72727f158295dca92da2e71f406399d1cb351a25

Realised P&L
$-171.58
Volume
$28.2k
Markets traded
244
Open portfolio
$8.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded244
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.9040.966$720.02+$45.60
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? · Yes0.2000.215$699.90+$48.83
Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No0.9640.960$667.48−$2.51
Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · Yes0.9110.966$615.69+$34.44
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? · No0.8700.885$447.81+$7.59
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No0.9660.972$392.96+$2.05
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? · No0.5160.890$181.53+$76.23
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1580.580$167.04+$121.48
Will "The Drama" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8190.959$126.50+$18.41
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? · No0.2100.215$108.14+$2.52
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes0.6300.996$100.71+$37.01
Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.9060.945$98.58+$4.11
Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? · Yes0.9390.956$97.47+$1.71
Will Mewgenics win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · No0.8700.915$94.28+$4.64
Kentucky vs. Tennessee · Kentucky0.3400.360$86.79+$4.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:08Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?BUY0.3399999958$4.81
11-01 21:07Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?BUY0.4199999321$2.35
11-01 21:07Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?BUY0.16$1.19
11-01 20:15Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2699999975$27.55
11-01 19:51Will “Somewhere Over Laredo” by Lainey Wilson win Single of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?BUY0.0699999987$2.20
11-01 19:42Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat?BUY0.83$4.15
11-01 19:40Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat?BUY0.8199999368$4.15
11-01 19:31Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?BUY0.9244003905$66.12
11-01 19:16Jaguars vs. RavensBUY0.6299999907$31.04
11-01 19:16Jaguars vs. RavensBUY0.6299999719$7.84
11-01 18:35Spread: Ravens (-2.5)BUY0.47$3.85
11-01 18:34Spread: Ravens (-2.5)BUY0.4699999962$2.45
11-01 18:23Will Monterrey win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?BUY0.9389999937$23.56
11-01 17:46Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?BUY0.34$26.18
11-01 17:34Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?BUY0.299999999$30.38