PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

wallet-account-test

0xcaff28ab217406a961a1d5ff1a60dc799998e3ad

Realised P&L
$227.50
Volume
$7.0k
Markets traded
124
Open portfolio
$313.30

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded124
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
First round outright winner in the SC Special Republican Senate Primary? · No0.7400.935$54.23+$11.31
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.6000.999$39.96+$15.96
Will Larry Rhoden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by more than 20%? · Yes0.7750.956$38.24+$7.24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8600.875$35.00+$0.60
Will Belinda Keiser be the FL-22 Republican nominee? · No0.8450.865$34.60+$0.80
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? · No0.5100.855$34.20+$13.80
Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? · No0.5270.715$28.60+$7.51
Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15? · No0.3800.435$17.40+$2.20
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes0.3110.345$13.82+$1.38
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? · Yes0.2000.220$8.80+$0.80
Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31? · No0.1080.160$6.40+$2.08
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.1900.040$1.58$6.02
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.0330.002$0.06$1.24
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Inter Miami CF next? · Yes0.0090.002$0.06$0.30
Will Eduardo Pazuello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? · Yes0.0100.001$0.01$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:10Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?SELL0.75$30.00
08-02 15:01Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?SELL0.41525$16.61
08-02 11:51Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?BUY0.08$3.20
08-02 06:56Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?BUY0.59$23.60
08-02 00:51Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?SELL0.445417$17.82
08-02 00:14Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?SELL0.82$32.80
08-01 22:55Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?SELL0.43$17.20
08-01 11:35Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?BUY0.51$20.40
08-01 06:05Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15?BUY0.38$15.20
08-01 03:20Will Belinda Keiser be the FL-22 Republican nominee?BUY0.845$33.80
07-31 22:35Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?BUY0.3$12.00
07-31 20:16Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?SELL0.056$2.80
07-31 19:18Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?SELL0.45$18.00
07-31 17:24Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?BUY0.116$5.80
07-31 16:51Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?SELL0.68$27.20