wallet-account-test
0xcaff28ab217406a961a1d5ff1a60dc799998e3ad
- Realised P&L
- $4.6k
- Volume
- $152.6k
- Markets traded
- 620
- Open portfolio
- $28.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded620
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.061Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?
- +$1.5kat 0.256Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?
- +$1.1kat 0.422Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?
- +$867.51at 0.131Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?
- +$790.78at 0.264Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 23:17 | Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.68 | $34.00 |
| 10-30 21:59 | Will Jordan Love finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing yards? | BUY | 0.134 | $3.22 |
| 10-30 20:38 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? | SELL | 0.997 | $78.76 |
| 10-30 12:33 | Government shutdown by December 12? | BUY | 0.29 | $8.41 |
| 10-29 11:11 | U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $29.50 |
| 10-29 09:11 | Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "maxx"? | BUY | 0.0734482759 | $4.26 |
| 10-29 06:26 | Government shutdown by December 12? | BUY | 0.28 | $40.04 |
| 10-29 05:39 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | SELL | 0.993 | $947.32 |
| 10-28 20:55 | Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25? | SELL | 0.991 | $19.82 |
| 10-27 08:29 | Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? | SELL | 0.09565625 | $15.30 |
| 10-27 08:28 | CISA emergency directive issued by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $31.00 |
| 10-26 09:55 | Will "Being Heumann" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3 | $8.10 |
| 10-26 08:20 | Will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $20.40 |
| 10-26 06:07 | Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | BUY | 0.75 | $18.75 |
| 10-26 04:28 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0019046823 | $2.28 |