wallet-account-test
0xcaff28ab217406a961a1d5ff1a60dc799998e3ad
- Realised P&L
- $227.50
- Volume
- $7.0k
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $313.30
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.80at 0.440Will Elijah Norton be the Arizona State Treasurer Republican nominee?
- +$20.65at 0.110Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
- +$19.90at 0.623Will Trump's Speech to the Nation last 30 minutes or longer?
- +$14.40at 0.640Will Bernie say "Trillionaire" during Minneapolis Rally?
- +$13.41at 0.080Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:10 | Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections? | SELL | 0.75 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 15:01 | Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.41525 | $16.61 |
| 08-02 11:51 | Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.20 |
| 08-02 06:56 | Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections? | BUY | 0.59 | $23.60 |
| 08-02 00:51 | Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | SELL | 0.445417 | $17.82 |
| 08-02 00:14 | Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30? | SELL | 0.82 | $32.80 |
| 08-01 22:55 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31? | SELL | 0.43 | $17.20 |
| 08-01 11:35 | Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | BUY | 0.51 | $20.40 |
| 08-01 06:05 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15? | BUY | 0.38 | $15.20 |
| 08-01 03:20 | Will Belinda Keiser be the FL-22 Republican nominee? | BUY | 0.845 | $33.80 |
| 07-31 22:35 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $12.00 |
| 07-31 20:16 | Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.056 | $2.80 |
| 07-31 19:18 | Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | SELL | 0.45 | $18.00 |
| 07-31 17:24 | Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.116 | $5.80 |
| 07-31 16:51 | Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $27.20 |