PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

wallet-account-test

0xcaff28ab217406a961a1d5ff1a60dc799998e3ad

Realised P&L
$4.6k
Volume
$152.6k
Markets traded
620
Open portfolio
$28.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded620
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? · No0.4110.455$1.3k+$121.36
Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · Yes0.9130.966$1.1k+$58.78
Will Michigan Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs? · No0.7080.890$890.00+$182.20
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? · No0.4410.375$560.63−$98.90
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 55% or more? · No0.7650.971$556.10+$117.78
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? · No0.7350.935$507.70+$108.58
Will Democrats win the Kansas Governor election and Republicans win the Kansas Senate election? · No0.7920.985$492.50+$96.53
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.7500.745$467.12−$3.34
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in October? · No0.8700.996$457.93+$57.53
Will USC Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs? · No0.4640.805$434.70+$183.90
Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.3000.425$425.00+$125.20
Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? · No0.4960.935$383.35+$180.09
US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.7440.885$370.81+$59.18
Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.3070.365$361.71+$57.41
Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · Yes0.9160.979$346.57+$22.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 23:17Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.68$34.00
10-30 21:59Will Jordan Love finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing yards?BUY0.134$3.22
10-30 20:38Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?SELL0.997$78.76
10-30 12:33Government shutdown by December 12?BUY0.29$8.41
10-29 11:11U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?BUY0.59$29.50
10-29 09:11Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "maxx"?BUY0.0734482759$4.26
10-29 06:26Government shutdown by December 12?BUY0.28$40.04
10-29 05:39US imports Russian diesel by October 31?SELL0.993$947.32
10-28 20:55Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?SELL0.991$19.82
10-27 08:29Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?SELL0.09565625$15.30
10-27 08:28CISA emergency directive issued by December 31, 2026?BUY0.31$31.00
10-26 09:55Will "Being Heumann" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.3$8.10
10-26 08:20Will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by December 31, 2026?BUY0.68$20.40
10-26 06:07Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?BUY0.75$18.75
10-26 04:28Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026?SELL0.0019046823$2.28