wallet-account-test
0xcaff28ab217406a961a1d5ff1a60dc799998e3ad
- Realised P&L
- $4.8k
- Volume
- $66.9k
- Markets traded
- 402
- Open portfolio
- $14.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded402
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$867.51at 0.131Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?
- +$790.78at 0.264Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?
- +$451.61at 0.096Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?
- +$142.52at 0.337Will any state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras by December 31?
- +$103.41at 0.483Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:09 | Will Maura Higgins win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? | BUY | 0.2088888889 | $7.52 |
| 09-17 06:04 | Will Maura Higgins win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? | BUY | 0.18315 | $7.33 |
| 09-17 05:27 | Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the September meeting? | BUY | 0.1490064103 | $46.49 |
| 09-17 04:06 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000? | BUY | 0.664 | $42.50 |
| 09-17 03:55 | Will Dua Lipa perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | BUY | 0.834 | $16.68 |
| 09-17 03:47 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more? | BUY | 0.684 | $13.68 |
| 09-17 03:34 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 30% or more? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.36 |
| 09-17 03:22 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1891388889 | $6.81 |
| 09-17 03:03 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 21% or more? | BUY | 0.0302025 | $0.60 |
| 09-17 02:46 | Will Mina the Hollower win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.33 | $19.80 |
| 09-17 02:20 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1891944186 | $8.14 |
| 09-17 02:16 | Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.9 | $27.00 |
| 09-17 01:51 | Will Andy Burnham say "King" or "Queen" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.039 | $0.86 |
| 09-17 01:29 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2284875 | $20.11 |
| 09-17 01:03 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.186488 | $3.73 |