Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards: 40 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.28. Unchanged over the period, from 0.28. Range 0.28 to 0.28. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.29	2,274	2,274
0.30	951	3,225
0.31	1,064	4,289
0.32	75	4,364
0.42	22	4,387
0.43	16	4,403
0.45	50	4,453
0.48	500	4,953
0.63	500	5,453
0.70	40	5,493
0.71	150	5,643
0.72	20	5,663

Spread0.01Mid0.29

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.28	2,488	2,488
0.27	1,818	4,306
0.26	1,237	5,543
0.25	300	5,843
0.24	5	5,848
0.21	33	5,882
0.20	55	5,937
0.19	188	6,124
0.17	222	6,346
0.16	5	6,351
0.13	500	6,851
0.12	715	7,566

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.72	2,488	2,488
0.73	1,818	4,306
0.74	1,237	5,543
0.75	300	5,843
0.76	5	5,848
0.79	33	5,882
0.80	55	5,937
0.81	188	6,124
0.83	222	6,346
0.84	5	6,351
0.87	500	6,851
0.88	715	7,566

Spread0.01Mid0.71

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.71	2,274	2,274
0.70	951	3,225
0.69	1,064	4,289
0.68	75	4,364
0.58	22	4,387
0.57	16	4,403
0.55	50	4,453
0.52	500	4,953
0.37	500	5,453
0.30	40	5,493
0.29	150	5,643
0.28	20	5,663

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
folioquant	Yes	964.34
singularityman	Yes	855.86
whispercatalyst	Yes	568.5
lineth	Yes	263.07
ghoan	Yes	213.62
ManBOOOO	Yes	150.12
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	40
zhili6648	Yes	25.9
gonnakilmyslf	Yes	24.79
bechamel	Yes	20.33
mskl	Yes	20
AJSV	Yes	14.26
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	10.12
0x6bb9Bb92a74c37a447F09E3697370d7B443aF64a-1778889145261	Yes	10
oliman2	Yes	9.28
big-bird1	Yes	7.2
trrr12	Yes	6.77
0xec6b…97df	Yes	6.67
planktonXD	Yes	4.85
79fsdfs	Yes	4.44

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
18:14:27	SELL	No	0.71	34	$24.31
22:02:34	BUY	Yes	0.29	40	$11.60
03:34:52	SELL	Yes	0.27	9	$2.51
03:34:51	BUY	No	0.73	112	$81.76
03:34:51	SELL	Yes	0.28	240	$67.20
03:34:49	BUY	No	0.73	28	$20.44
15:27:10	SELL	Yes	0.27	15	$4.05
15:27:07	SELL	Yes	0.28	15	$4.20
15:27:06	SELL	Yes	0.28	15	$4.20
15:26:52	SELL	Yes	0.28	15	$4.20
10:51:31	SELL	No	0.7	1	$0.45
07:18:39	SELL	No	0.7	2	$1.22
23:53:57	SELL	No	0.7	7	$4.90
19:36:40	SELL	Yes	0.29	49	$14.15
10:41:58	SELL	No	0.71	38	$27.26
10:41:58	SELL	No	0.7	40	$28.00
10:41:58	SELL	No	0.7056927536	69	$48.69
10:41:57	BUY	Yes	0.2899999946	9	$2.70
10:41:55	BUY	Yes	0.2816004167	240	$67.58
10:41:54	BUY	Yes	0.29	40	$11.60
05:14:07	SELL	Yes	0.27	8	$2.16
05:11:27	SELL	Yes	0.29	40	$11.60
05:11:27	SELL	Yes	0.29	80	$23.20
05:11:25	SELL	Yes	0.2953359863	199	$58.63
01:15:21	SELL	Yes	0.31	10	$3.12