PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ghoan

0x897a960452f8943b450d382f254522d992a74194

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$110.0k
Markets traded
816
Open portfolio
$9.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded816
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? · No0.7710.990$892.78+$197.01
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat? · Yes0.8360.850$811.40+$13.83
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.3460.825$664.42+$385.83
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? · Yes0.6270.840$464.07+$117.68
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? · Yes0.8970.935$394.92+$16.36
Will Suverēnā Vara (SV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? · No0.7800.935$319.32+$53.07
Christopher Luxon out by September 30? · No0.4240.976$269.18+$152.15
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election? · No0.8000.978$237.58+$43.16
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-06 House election? · No0.8600.962$200.33+$21.22
Will the Centre Party (C) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · No0.6020.999$200.03+$79.47
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%? · No0.5520.495$197.44$22.70
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-10 House election? · No0.8200.960$195.73+$28.53
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · No0.7180.755$180.63+$8.79
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election? · No0.8230.979$159.09+$25.20
Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No0.7670.989$140.01+$31.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 15:38Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?SELL0.33$2.31
09-11 21:11Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?BUY0.26$3.64
09-11 20:18Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?SELL0.917$50.44
09-11 19:54Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?BUY0.32$2.73
09-11 19:41Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?BUY0.9339999998$51.70
09-11 18:17Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?SELL0.25$11.50
09-11 18:15Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?BUY0.25$11.50
09-11 17:45Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?SELL0.913$12.78
09-11 15:04Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?BUY0.9299999972$13.16
09-11 14:22Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7099999949$5.60
09-10 23:28Will Trump and Putin not meet?BUY0.3099999793$1.95
09-10 20:08Will gas hit $4.00 (Low) by September 30?BUY0.8799999847$4.60
09-10 20:06Will gas hit $4.00 (Low) by September 30?BUY0.8538283063$11.04
09-10 20:04Will gas hit $4.00 (Low) by September 30?BUY0.8372697703$47.84
09-10 12:31Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election?BUY0.8599999919$6.37