trrr12
0x184b4b04ea85411bd81eaca8b29c22df1fd367b2
- Realised P&L
- $586.58
- Volume
- $64.4k
- Markets traded
- 4,708
- Open portfolio
- $140.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,708
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.31at 0.126Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$55.24at 0.074S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 4?
- +$50.13at 0.153Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 22?
- +$48.09at 0.181Will Meta (META) close above $580 on August 12?
- +$37.70at 0.037S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 07:54 | Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? | SELL | 0.67 | $2.97 |
| 09-12 07:53 | Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series? | SELL | 0.4 | $1.29 |
| 09-12 07:53 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.895 | $4.57 |
| 09-12 07:53 | Will Sarah Pidgeon – “Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. and Carolyn Bessette” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? | SELL | 0.348 | $3.97 |
| 09-12 07:52 | Will Antonio Zanardi Landi be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026? | SELL | 0.923 | $2.46 |
| 09-12 07:52 | Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,220,000 and $1,242,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.995 | $3.32 |
| 09-12 07:52 | Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | SELL | 0.9 | $4.72 |
| 09-11 15:10 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $3.08 |
| 09-10 09:10 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.86 | $5.19 |
| 09-09 22:02 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? | SELL | 0.32 | $0.54 |
| 09-09 20:26 | Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31? | SELL | 0.83 | $1.16 |
| 09-06 00:43 | Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $2.47 |
| 09-05 18:56 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher? | SELL | 0.77 | $1.26 |
| 09-05 01:54 | Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31? | SELL | 0.78 | $1.88 |
| 09-05 00:28 | Amazon 2026 capex above $190B? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.22 |