PolyBot

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Traders

0x6bb9Bb92a74c37a447F09E3697370d7B443aF64a-1778889145261

0x6bb9bb92a74c37a447f09e3697370d7b443af64a

Realised P&L
$64.07
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
143
Open portfolio
$684.06

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded143
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 75% or more? · No0.6700.963$19.26+$5.86
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 30% or more? · No0.6800.945$18.89+$5.29
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be 1,700,000 or more? · No0.6800.915$18.31+$4.71
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 40% or more? · No0.6600.964$17.34+$5.46
Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms? · Yes0.7550.800$16.00+$0.90
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 12% or more? · No0.7200.951$13.31+$3.23
Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31? · Yes0.2800.615$12.30+$6.70
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting? · No0.8501.000$10.00+$1.50
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 55% or more? · No0.7500.997$9.97+$2.47
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-08 House election by 30% or more? · No0.6500.996$9.96+$3.46
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 58.0 and 58.9 in October? · No0.8200.995$9.95+$1.75
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in October? · No0.7700.995$9.95+$2.25
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-10 House election by 30% or more? · No0.7600.994$9.94+$2.34
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 35% or more? · No0.7700.994$9.94+$2.23
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-06 House election by 18% or more? · No0.8500.988$9.88+$1.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 16:20Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?SELL0.41$4.10
10-09 03:55Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?BUY0.39$3.90
10-09 03:12Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$1.30
10-09 01:22Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?BUY0.23$2.30
10-09 00:21Will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by December 31, 2026?BUY0.53$5.30
10-08 13:56Will Jessica Tisch be out as New York City Police Commissioner by December 31?BUY0.64$6.40
10-08 12:40Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be 3,800,000 or more?BUY0.86$8.60
10-08 12:15Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?BUY0.32$3.20
10-08 09:51Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?BUY0.2$2.00
10-08 09:18Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Attorney General election?SELL0.54$5.40
10-08 01:20Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?BUY0.17$1.70
10-07 21:17Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more?SELL0.204$2.04
10-07 19:09Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$1.60
10-07 11:55Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?SELL0.18$1.80
10-07 08:46Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Attorney General election?SELL0.52$5.20