0x6bb9Bb92a74c37a447F09E3697370d7B443aF64a-1778889145261
0x6bb9bb92a74c37a447f09e3697370d7b443af64a
- Realised P&L
- $64.07
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 143
- Open portfolio
- $684.06
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded143
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.29at 0.135Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?
- +$15.37at 0.232Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?
- +$10.00at 0.280US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?
- +$5.75at 0.649Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 21% or more?
- +$5.10at 0.490Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 16:20 | Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $4.10 |
| 10-09 03:55 | Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 10-09 03:12 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 10-09 01:22 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.30 |
| 10-09 00:21 | Will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 10-08 13:56 | Will Jessica Tisch be out as New York City Police Commissioner by December 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 10-08 12:40 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be 3,800,000 or more? | BUY | 0.86 | $8.60 |
| 10-08 12:15 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 10-08 09:51 | Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 09:18 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Attorney General election? | SELL | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 10-08 01:20 | Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 10-07 21:17 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more? | SELL | 0.204 | $2.04 |
| 10-07 19:09 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 10-07 11:55 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 10-07 08:46 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Attorney General election? | SELL | 0.52 | $5.20 |