0xec6b3bbda1551a1ec2fca79559720cb7f57797df
- Realised P&L
- $19.28
- Volume
- $6.1k
- Markets traded
- 202
- Open portfolio
- $218.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded202
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$108.94at 0.010Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by July 31, 2026?
- +$65.35at 0.136Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?
- +$38.87at 0.075Will Amanda Bell be the WI-06 Democratic nominee?
- +$28.20at 0.203Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?
- +$26.30at 0.375Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:50 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be 1,800,000 or more? | SELL | 0.966 | $0.08 |
| 09-18 00:50 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000? | SELL | 0.969 | $0.18 |
| 09-18 00:36 | Will The Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0629999995 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:09 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 4,500,000 and 5,000,000? | BUY | 0.9799991964 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 21:00 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be 2,200,000 or more? | SELL | 0.891 | $0.01 |
| 09-17 21:00 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be 2,200,000 or more? | SELL | 0.891 | $0.09 |
| 09-17 21:00 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be 2,200,000 or more? | SELL | 0.891 | $0.09 |
| 09-17 20:50 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be 450,000 or more? | BUY | 0.9909997404 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 20:49 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be 2,200,000 or more? | SELL | 0.891 | $0.04 |
| 09-17 20:49 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be 2,200,000 or more? | SELL | 0.891 | $0.09 |
| 09-17 20:03 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be less than 600,000? | SELL | 0.99 | $0.30 |
| 09-17 19:57 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be 1,800,000 or more? | SELL | 0.966 | $0.03 |
| 09-17 19:57 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be 1,800,000 or more? | SELL | 0.966 | $0.03 |
| 09-17 19:57 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be 1,800,000 or more? | SELL | 0.966 | $0.05 |
| 09-17 19:57 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be 1,800,000 or more? | SELL | 0.966 | $0.05 |