0xec6b3bbda1551a1ec2fca79559720cb7f57797df
0xec6b3bbda1551a1ec2fca79559720cb7f57797df
- Realised P&L
- $-30.45
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 217
- Open portfolio
- $211.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded217
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.30at 0.375Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$26.28at 0.178Will Kyle Campbell win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election?
- +$18.06at 0.082Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?
- +$13.96at 0.757Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$5.11at 0.215Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:39 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,500,000 and 4,650,000? | SELL | 0.078 | $0.99 |
| 11-01 12:39 | Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,000,000 and 4,200,000? | SELL | 0.55 | $0.70 |
| 11-01 05:04 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000? | SELL | 0.922 | $0.06 |
| 11-01 03:22 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000? | SELL | 0.916 | $0.01 |
| 11-01 02:51 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000? | SELL | 0.932 | $0.06 |
| 11-01 02:30 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000? | SELL | 0.932 | $0.02 |
| 10-30 13:49 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.141 | $0.79 |
| 10-30 01:56 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.138 | $0.48 |
| 10-28 17:10 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland be less than 1,550,000? | SELL | 0.972 | $0.03 |
| 10-27 20:21 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 350,000 and 400,000? | SELL | 0.555 | $0.06 |
| 10-27 20:17 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 350,000 and 400,000? | SELL | 0.555 | $0.06 |
| 10-27 19:16 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 350,000 and 400,000? | SELL | 0.55 | $0.01 |
| 10-27 19:16 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 350,000 and 400,000? | SELL | 0.55 | $0.03 |
| 10-27 17:59 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 350,000 and 400,000? | SELL | 0.534 | $0.07 |
| 10-27 08:53 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000? | SELL | 0.56 | $0.04 |