PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xec6b3bbda1551a1ec2fca79559720cb7f57797df

Realised P&L
$19.28
Volume
$6.1k
Markets traded
202
Open portfolio
$218.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded202
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SPD win 34 or more seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.0150.299$20.52+$19.52
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by December 31? · No0.8800.965$18.07+$1.59
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? · Yes0.8730.945$16.23+$1.23
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · No0.8700.875$7.91+$0.05
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be 400,000 or more? · No0.9160.970$7.40+$0.41
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31? · No0.8090.935$6.62+$0.89
Will Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? · Yes0.0120.011$6.35$0.65
Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? · No0.8400.810$6.06$0.22
Will Arthur Lira win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election? · No0.5220.585$5.60+$0.60
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? · No0.1880.205$5.45+$0.45
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona be between 2,600,000 and 2,750,000? · Yes0.0700.375$4.94+$4.02
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 40k and 50k? · Yes0.0800.099$4.92+$0.93
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000? · No0.8960.945$4.16+$0.22
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be between 250,000 and 275,000? · No0.9700.966$3.60$0.02
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,500,000 and 4,650,000? · Yes0.1520.267$3.51+$1.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 00:50Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be 1,800,000 or more?SELL0.966$0.08
09-18 00:50Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000?SELL0.969$0.18
09-18 00:36Will The Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.0629999995$1.00
09-18 00:09Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 4,500,000 and 5,000,000?BUY0.9799991964$1.00
09-17 21:00Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be 2,200,000 or more?SELL0.891$0.01
09-17 21:00Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be 2,200,000 or more?SELL0.891$0.09
09-17 21:00Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be 2,200,000 or more?SELL0.891$0.09
09-17 20:50Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be 450,000 or more?BUY0.9909997404$1.00
09-17 20:49Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be 2,200,000 or more?SELL0.891$0.04
09-17 20:49Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be 2,200,000 or more?SELL0.891$0.09
09-17 20:03Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be less than 600,000?SELL0.99$0.30
09-17 19:57Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be 1,800,000 or more?SELL0.966$0.03
09-17 19:57Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be 1,800,000 or more?SELL0.966$0.03
09-17 19:57Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be 1,800,000 or more?SELL0.966$0.05
09-17 19:57Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be 1,800,000 or more?SELL0.966$0.05