Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
- Tick
- 0.01
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
- Ends
- 2027-01-01
- Rewards
- 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.16 | 113 | 113 |
| 0.17 | 470 | 583 |
| 0.37 | 13 | 596 |
| 0.38 | 11 | 607 |
| 0.55 | 113 | 720 |
| 0.56 | 500 | 1,220 |
| 0.57 | 30 | 1,250 |
| 0.64 | 50 | 1,300 |
| 0.74 | 5 | 1,305 |
| 0.84 | 6 | 1,311 |
| 0.89 | 9 | 1,320 |
| 0.90 | 20 | 1,340 |
Spread0.01Mid0.15
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.15 | 222 | 222 |
| 0.14 | 610 | 832 |
| 0.11 | 20 | 852 |
| 0.10 | 60 | 912 |
| 0.09 | 122 | 1,034 |
| 0.08 | 676 | 1,710 |
| 0.07 | 593 | 2,303 |
| 0.06 | 20 | 2,323 |
| 0.05 | 500 | 2,823 |
| 0.04 | 500 | 3,323 |
| 0.03 | 10 | 3,333 |
| 0.02 | 20 | 3,353 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.85 | 222 | 222 |
| 0.86 | 610 | 832 |
| 0.89 | 20 | 852 |
| 0.90 | 60 | 912 |
| 0.91 | 122 | 1,034 |
| 0.92 | 676 | 1,710 |
| 0.93 | 593 | 2,303 |
| 0.94 | 20 | 2,323 |
| 0.95 | 500 | 2,823 |
| 0.96 | 500 | 3,323 |
| 0.97 | 10 | 3,333 |
| 0.98 | 20 | 3,353 |
Spread0.01Mid0.84
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.84 | 113 | 113 |
| 0.83 | 470 | 583 |
| 0.63 | 13 | 596 |
| 0.62 | 11 | 607 |
| 0.45 | 113 | 720 |
| 0.44 | 500 | 1,220 |
| 0.43 | 30 | 1,250 |
| 0.36 | 50 | 1,300 |
| 0.26 | 5 | 1,305 |
| 0.16 | 6 | 1,311 |
| 0.11 | 9 | 1,320 |
| 0.10 | 20 | 1,340 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| pragmat1sm | Yes | 1,254.55 |
| folioquant | Yes | 136.7 |
| alphazero0 | Yes | 132.6 |
| POB1 | Yes | 93.02 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 91.84 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 76 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 31.54 |
| vovaauer-bot | Yes | 19.42 |
| PavelIslimnitsky | Yes | 10 |
| V4grant | Yes | 10 |
| Laribobibo | Yes | 3 |
| pmqianbaolaile | Yes | 2.22 |
| Olcan | No | 588.89 |
| peter239784 | No | 462.73 |
| BAO95889 | No | 246.8 |
| Computerdude111 | No | 116.8 |
| il1 | No | 111.26 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 105.83 |
| zk1984 | No | 100 |
| Haradwaith | No | 80 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:54:52 | SELL | Yes | 0.15 | 31 | $4.70 |
| 11:41:25 | SELL | No | 0.81 | 9 | $7.41 |
| 11:30:40 | SELL | No | 0.82 | 9 | $7.50 |
| 09:01:15 | BUY | Yes | 0.1799999937 | 22 | $4.00 |
| 09:01:13 | SELL | No | 0.82 | 42 | $34.44 |
| 03:32:52 | SELL | Yes | 0.17 | 3 | $0.51 |
| 02:24:16 | SELL | No | 0.82 | 20 | $16.40 |
| 00:37:28 | SELL | Yes | 0.16 | 20 | $3.20 |
| 00:37:09 | SELL | Yes | 0.16 | 20 | $3.20 |
| 00:35:33 | SELL | Yes | 0.173 | 20 | $3.46 |
| 00:34:54 | SELL | Yes | 0.19 | 20 | $3.80 |
| 00:34:06 | SELL | Yes | 0.17 | 40 | $6.80 |
| 00:34:03 | BUY | No | 0.7979144737 | 289 | $230.44 |
| 17:17:16 | SELL | No | 0.75 | 0 | $0.18 |
| 16:42:09 | SELL | No | 0.76 | 20 | $15.20 |
| 03:35:06 | SELL | No | 0.75 | 67 | $50.15 |
| 03:35:01 | SELL | No | 0.77 | 20 | $15.40 |
| 03:34:58 | SELL | No | 0.77 | 20 | $15.40 |
| 03:34:58 | SELL | No | 0.77 | 9 | $7.22 |
| 03:34:57 | SELL | No | 0.78 | 240 | $186.98 |
| 18:59:37 | SELL | No | 0.78 | 9 | $7.14 |
| 16:08:06 | BUY | Yes | 0.25 | 40 | $10.00 |
| 15:50:48 | SELL | No | 0.75 | 31 | $23.10 |
| 15:48:25 | BUY | No | 0.76 | 40 | $30.40 |
| 10:57:46 | BUY | No | 0.74 | 62 | $45.88 |