PavelIslimnitsky
0xb01ebe6393e5afcef6ae457a1dd749f519a89221
- Realised P&L
- $144.02
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 226
- Open portfolio
- $43.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded226
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$109.46at 0.018Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$19.00at 0.240U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
- +$15.67at 0.060Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
- +$10.47at 0.162Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$8.00at 0.200Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 13:58 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 13:57 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 13:57 | US imports Russian diesel before Russia x Ukraine peace talks? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 13:57 | NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 13:56 | Trump declares a national emergency by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 13:56 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 35% or more? | BUY | 0.5139998129 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 13:55 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.93 |
| 10-31 13:55 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.94 | $2.93 |
| 10-31 13:54 | Nothing Ever Happens: November | BUY | 0.1735836873 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 13:54 | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? | BUY | 0.2419999652 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 13:53 | Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 13:53 | Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 13:53 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 13:52 | Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 13:51 | Moody's or S&P downgrades France by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |