Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.902. down 0.004 over the period, from 0.906. Range 0.692 to 0.918. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.927	90	90
0.931	115	205
0.936	80	285
0.943	40	325
0.956	8	333
0.957	61	394
0.959	30	424
0.973	6	431
0.974	26	457
0.976	167	623
0.980	50	673
0.989	16	689

Spread0.049Mid0.903

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.878	150	150
0.877	190	340
0.865	37	377
0.706	10	387
0.705	11	398
0.701	20	418
0.700	1,331	1,749
0.592	20	1,769
0.566	40	1,809
0.565	333	2,142
0.441	50	2,192
0.440	75	2,267

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.122	150	150
0.123	190	340
0.135	37	377
0.294	10	387
0.295	11	398
0.299	20	418
0.300	1,331	1,749
0.408	20	1,769
0.434	40	1,809
0.435	333	2,142
0.559	50	2,192
0.560	75	2,267

Spread0.049Mid0.098

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.073	90	90
0.069	115	205
0.064	80	285
0.057	40	325
0.044	8	333
0.043	61	394
0.041	30	424
0.027	6	431
0.026	26	457
0.024	167	623
0.020	50	673
0.011	16	689

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
iutwpfal	Yes	1,598.98
Milksheen	Yes	667.71
Aragorn-II	Yes	500
pragmat1sm	Yes	490.4
Computerdude111	Yes	349.84
Mustafalafel	Yes	105.76
NeevS	Yes	60
sand1	Yes	40
SmartBoyBilly	Yes	20.2
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	15
tradetosurvive1	Yes	12.68
new-account-test222	Yes	10
moonrise-clump	Yes	6.94
ggeasynore	Yes	5
0xc19AC10345e01A3C26a242B30064c17C3f6866f9-1771234204652	Yes	4.42
0x9793…913c	Yes	4
monoclith	Yes	1.4
0xf528…7e5b	Yes	1.24
SteviaDaddy	No	1,330.5
Investnow	No	613.02

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
10:03:09	SELL	Yes	0.88	10	$9.17
10:01:55	SELL	No	0.1	17	$1.70
09:29:15	SELL	No	0.12	40	$4.80
05:17:18	SELL	No	0.122	0	$0.01
05:17:15	SELL	No	0.122995	20	$2.46
04:44:49	SELL	Yes	0.864	100	$86.40
04:20:37	SELL	No	0.075	20	$1.50
04:20:33	BUY	Yes	0.8242342334	548	$452.07
02:44:30	BUY	Yes	0.823	10	$8.23
23:58:36	BUY	Yes	0.823	20	$16.46
02:33:03	SELL	Yes	0.8628888889	180	$155.32
02:33:03	BUY	No	0.13	20	$2.60
11:29:16	SELL	No	0.128	20	$2.56
10:28:09	BUY	Yes	0.8710011407	20	$17.44
10:28:06	BUY	Yes	0.82175	80	$65.74
04:50:18	BUY	Yes	0.815	39	$31.98
22:53:52	BUY	Yes	0.7996651038	15	$11.94
22:43:21	BUY	Yes	0.69	5	$3.45
22:41:54	BUY	No	0.19	10	$1.90
21:59:25	BUY	No	0.17	10	$1.70
20:56:31	SELL	Yes	0.83	10	$8.24
19:31:04	SELL	Yes	0.85	10	$8.50
19:25:15	BUY	Yes	0.7708820455	161	$123.91
15:51:48	SELL	Yes	0.76	20	$15.20
09:01:25	BUY	Yes	0.77	5	$3.85