new-account-test222
0xfe91ab8dceeab1fb6ae42f66250d5ff170cd4cd3
- Realised P&L
- $127.71
- Volume
- $21.0k
- Markets traded
- 325
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded325
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.05at 0.808Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$51.20at 0.221Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$39.27at 0.453Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?
- +$35.79at 0.121Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?
- +$23.78at 0.684Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 14:03 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 09-11 14:03 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 09-11 14:03 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 09-11 14:03 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 09-10 18:02 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 09-10 18:02 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 09-10 18:02 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 09-10 18:02 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 09-10 18:02 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 09-10 18:02 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 09-01 20:01 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.83 | $1.61 |
| 09-01 20:01 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 08-18 03:40 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 07-02 02:01 | Will United States win on 2026-07-01? | SELL | 0.995 | $4.97 |