new-account-test222
0xfe91ab8dceeab1fb6ae42f66250d5ff170cd4cd3
- Realised P&L
- $237.65
- Volume
- $44.4k
- Markets traded
- 523
- Open portfolio
- $5.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded523
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$118.15at 0.471Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$56.19at 0.221Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$55.33at 0.349Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?
- +$54.05at 0.808Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$39.53at 0.701Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 10:02 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 11-01 10:02 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 11-01 10:02 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 11-01 10:02 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 11-01 10:02 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 11-01 10:02 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 11-01 10:02 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 11-01 10:02 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 11-01 10:02 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 11-01 10:02 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 11-01 10:02 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 11-01 10:02 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 11-01 10:02 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 11-01 10:02 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 11-01 10:02 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |