PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

new-account-test222

0xfe91ab8dceeab1fb6ae42f66250d5ff170cd4cd3

Realised P&L
$237.65
Volume
$44.4k
Markets traded
523
Open portfolio
$5.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded523
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes0.7090.895$731.14+$152.03
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9320.955$319.93+$7.80
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8200.825$284.63+$1.65
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9660.977$282.96+$3.14
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? · No0.8510.835$207.07−$3.96
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9610.964$194.35+$0.54
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9550.966$149.65+$1.63
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.9250.945$137.03+$2.84
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9360.977$132.13+$5.54
Blue wave in 2026? · Yes0.8800.915$128.10+$4.90
Will Richard Vereš be the next Mayor of Ostrava? · Yes0.9400.915$104.52−$2.84
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.9160.915$104.31−$0.15
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9130.945$89.48+$3.03
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9170.905$87.88−$1.19
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0210.071$81.15+$57.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 10:02Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.82$4.10
11-01 10:02Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.82$4.10
11-01 10:02Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.82$4.10
11-01 10:02Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.82$4.10
11-01 10:02Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.82$4.10
11-01 10:02Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.82$4.10
11-01 10:02Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.82$4.10
11-01 10:02Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.82$4.10
11-01 10:02Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.82$4.10
11-01 10:02Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.82$4.10
11-01 10:02Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.82$4.10
11-01 10:02Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.82$4.10
11-01 10:02Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.82$4.10
11-01 10:02Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.83$4.15
11-01 10:02Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.83$4.15