ggeasynore
0x6f9a9981a30fa150136c288d32dc7a30526026a3
- Realised P&L
- $-368.61
- Volume
- $23.6k
- Markets traded
- 916
- Open portfolio
- $127.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded916
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.52at 0.298Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
- +$40.68at 0.464Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
- +$34.65at 0.422Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
- +$31.79at 0.546Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
- +$30.20at 0.245Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 13:10 | Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 09-17 13:08 | Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 09-16 18:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | SELL | 0.51 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 18:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 18:36 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.90 |
| 09-16 18:35 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 09-16 18:15 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.67 |
| 09-16 10:09 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 09-16 10:07 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.08 |
| 09-16 09:13 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 09-16 07:33 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? | BUY | 0.0136986301 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 05:31 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.50 |
| 09-16 04:08 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.50 |
| 09-15 12:31 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 09-15 12:26 | Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |