Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.833. up 0.147 over the period, from 0.686. Range 0.670 to 0.836. 162 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.908	20	20
0.973	23	43
0.974	41	84
0.975	60	144
0.977	5	149
0.978	159	309
0.979	30	339
0.980	789	1,128
0.987	8	1,136
0.988	292	1,427
0.990	140	1,567
0.996	12	1,579

Spread0.150Mid0.833

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.758	13	13
0.756	20	33
0.755	22	55
0.589	20	75
0.588	15	90
0.587	37	127
0.586	1,985	2,112
0.346	40	2,152
0.345	30	2,182
0.343	20	2,203
0.340	310	2,512
0.240	5	2,517

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.242	13	13
0.244	20	33
0.245	22	55
0.411	20	75
0.412	15	90
0.413	37	127
0.414	1,985	2,112
0.654	40	2,152
0.655	30	2,182
0.657	20	2,203
0.660	310	2,512
0.760	5	2,517

Spread0.150Mid0.167

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.092	20	20
0.027	23	43
0.026	41	84
0.025	60	144
0.023	5	149
0.022	159	309
0.021	30	339
0.020	789	1,128
0.013	8	1,136
0.012	292	1,427
0.010	140	1,567
0.004	12	1,579

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
endoption	Yes	4,971.96
Milksheen	Yes	4,472.02
pragmat1sm	Yes	889.44
gaaaydoggggg	Yes	49.7
Fihdrzgdd	Yes	48
gonnakilmyslf	Yes	4
0xF924A3B843e965c2c178289c857659Ab2fA83d3a-1772296609127	Yes	1.19
0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876	No	3,846.09
Mr.Frog🐸	No	1,545.36
dedidanc	No	1,106.95
0x84d4…77a9	No	482.9
SingletonFamilyFund	No	462
iutwpfal	No	402.81
AJSV	No	398.92
tradetosurvive1	No	276.69
LornaPredicts	No	229.81
richardd	No	224.41
vinii	No	166.43
molodoyy	No	162.54
castingwhite	No	140.83

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
02:49:13	BUY	Yes	0.7513157013	197	$148.00
00:21:40	BUY	Yes	0.632	20	$12.64
19:58:46	SELL	Yes	0.693	20	$13.86
19:25:03	BUY	No	0.228	20	$4.56
14:15:51	BUY	Yes	0.806	20	$16.12
14:10:51	BUY	No	0.22	60	$13.20
12:57:41	BUY	Yes	0.77	20	$15.40
05:55:11	BUY	Yes	0.7295	40	$29.18
05:45:56	BUY	No	0.239	20	$4.78
05:45:56	BUY	No	0.226	40	$9.04
17:02:54	BUY	No	0.195	18	$3.55
15:46:54	SELL	Yes	0.837	50	$41.85
15:01:05	BUY	Yes	0.795	50	$39.75
14:45:47	BUY	No	0.225	50	$11.25
14:45:01	BUY	Yes	0.7948928571	56	$44.51
10:59:31	BUY	No	0.238	6	$1.43
18:44:41	BUY	No	0.239	80	$19.12
18:15:11	BUY	Yes	0.7647328668	440	$336.54
13:48:57	BUY	No	0.201	50	$10.05
13:18:26	BUY	Yes	0.772	50	$38.60
12:44:38	BUY	No	0.2592400231	346	$89.65
00:52:27	BUY	Yes	0.71	105	$74.43
17:24:01	SELL	No	0.234	71	$16.56
17:23:52	SELL	No	0.251	20	$5.02
17:23:25	BUY	No	0.259	100	$25.78