PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x84d4f0a864c647b88635c0e299da30d7606377a9

Realised P&L
$-5.1k
Volume
$4.08M
Markets traded
13,605
Open portfolio
$302.95

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13,605
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
BlockerProfit concentration61.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? · No0.1180.190$91.51+$34.59
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? · Yes0.0190.032$62.58+$24.99
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.5350.447$57.58$11.38
Will Chattanooga Red Wolves SC win on 2026-08-01? · Yes0.5800.598$20.99+$0.63
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0700.044$19.87$11.38
Will OpenAI’s valuation be less than $600B at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.4200.047$11.14$88.44
Chattanooga Red Wolves SC vs. Spokane Velocity FC: O/U 1.5 · Under0.2300.403$8.84+$3.80
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? · No0.2650.235$7.71$0.99
FK Auda Riga vs. Ogre United: O/U 4.5 · Over0.2800.500$5.77+$2.54
FK Auda Riga vs. Ogre United: FK Auda Riga O/U 2.5 · Under0.5000.500$5.11+$0.00
Real Cartagena FC vs. Bogota FC: Bogota FC O/U 0.5 · Over0.5400.475$3.64$0.50
Will Elche finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season? · Yes0.8660.031$3.00$80.81
Will Arsenal qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? · No0.1100.009$1.89$21.20
Palermo: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Yasmine Kabbaj · Yasmine Kabbaj0.6801.000$1.87+$0.60
Will Levante finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season? · Yes0.8790.045$0.85$15.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 03:05Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?SELL0.01$0.15
09-12 11:08Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?SELL0.0452466509$20.10
09-12 04:18Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Second half draw?SELL0.19$0.01
09-11 04:11Chattanooga Red Wolves SC vs. Spokane Velocity FC: Chattanooga Red Wolves SC O/U 2.5SELL0.01$0.18
09-11 04:11Chattanooga Red Wolves SC vs. Spokane Velocity FC: Chattanooga Red Wolves SC O/U 1.5SELL0.01$0.18
09-09 14:13Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.012$0.01
09-09 14:13Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?SELL0.012$0.01
09-09 14:12Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?SELL0.006$0.01
09-09 14:12Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?SELL0.006$0.04
09-09 14:12Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?SELL0.006$0.08
09-09 14:12Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?SELL0.006$0.17
09-09 14:11Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?SELL0.006$0.34
09-09 13:50Chattanooga Red Wolves SC vs. Spokane Velocity FC: O/U 1.5SELL0.1$0.20
09-09 13:50Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?SELL0.011$2.63
09-09 13:49Chattanooga Red Wolves SC vs. Spokane Velocity FC: O/U 4.5SELL0.1$1.64