0xF924A3B843e965c2c178289c857659Ab2fA83d3a-1772296609127
0xf924a3b843e965c2c178289c857659ab2fa83d3a
- Realised P&L
- $-3.12
- Volume
- $268.77
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $0.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.812 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET · Up | 0.477 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.88at 0.436Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
- +$0.89at 0.528Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
- +$0.78at 0.653Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
- +$0.76at 0.569Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
- +$0.73at 0.579Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 14:12 | Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 14:08 | Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.15 |
| 08-25 08:34 | Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)? | BUY | 0.9539999938 | $4.00 |
| 03-16 11:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $0.97 |
| 03-16 11:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | SELL | 0.48 | $0.93 |
| 03-16 11:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $0.97 |
| 03-16 11:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $0.97 |
| 03-16 10:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $1.45 |
| 03-16 10:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.65 | $0.97 |
| 03-16 10:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | SELL | 0.55 | $0.97 |
| 03-16 10:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $0.97 |
| 03-16 10:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $0.97 |
| 03-16 10:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | SELL | 0.83 | $1.29 |
| 03-16 10:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $0.97 |
| 03-16 09:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $0.97 |