endoption
0xb16dc3169b090c54d1f73321919a03485ad6f064
- Realised P&L
- $-722.25
- Volume
- $41.7k
- Markets traded
- 756
- Open portfolio
- $11.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded756
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$322.99at 0.882Next Kimi K model released by September 30, 2026?
- +$187.71at 0.933Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?
- +$137.18at 0.899Next Kimi K model released by August 31, 2026?
- +$110.13at 0.935Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?
- +$103.26at 0.748Next DeepSeek Flash released by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 23:21 | Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $26.70 |
| 10-14 17:44 | Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 10-14 17:44 | Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9485714286 | $66.40 |
| 10-14 12:59 | Kimi K4 released by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.891 | $495.00 |
| 10-14 12:10 | Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.923 | $18.47 |
| 10-14 12:06 | Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.934 | $18.69 |
| 10-14 12:05 | Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.934 | $15.92 |
| 10-12 17:07 | Kimi K4 released by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.914 | $64.89 |
| 10-12 17:07 | Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9372361148 | $71.21 |
| 10-08 15:05 | Kimi K4 released by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8419399031 | $222.47 |
| 10-08 15:04 | Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9336172918 | $146.86 |
| 09-29 01:14 | Kimi K4 released by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8988600987 | $122.07 |
| 09-28 18:15 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.97999 | $4.90 |
| 09-28 18:14 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.9733333333 | $5.84 |
| 09-28 18:14 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.9744540491 | $10.71 |