Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 20 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.022. down 0.003 over the period, from 0.025. Range 0.021 to 0.027. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.023	45	45
0.026	262	307
0.029	669	976
0.030	1,793	2,769
0.031	600	3,369
0.033	414	3,782
0.034	153	3,936
0.037	25	3,961
0.039	5	3,966
0.043	233	4,199
0.046	173	4,372
0.047	2,000	6,372

Spread0.001Mid0.022

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.022	17	17
0.021	5,455	5,472
0.020	2,181	7,653
0.018	82	7,735
0.017	40	7,775
0.016	433	8,208
0.015	272	8,480
0.013	2,471	10,952
0.012	1,810	12,762
0.011	13,123	25,884
0.010	2,000	27,884
0.009	2,222	30,106

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.978	17	17
0.979	5,455	5,472
0.980	2,181	7,653
0.982	82	7,735
0.983	40	7,775
0.984	433	8,208
0.985	272	8,480
0.987	2,471	10,952
0.988	1,810	12,762
0.989	13,123	25,884
0.990	2,000	27,884
0.991	2,222	30,106

Spread0.001Mid0.978

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.977	45	45
0.974	262	307
0.971	669	976
0.970	1,793	2,769
0.969	600	3,369
0.967	414	3,782
0.966	153	3,936
0.963	25	3,961
0.961	5	3,966
0.957	233	4,199
0.954	173	4,372
0.953	2,000	6,372

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
TheLightFire	Yes	13,410.2
whumpa	Yes	2,593.21
lyoo1210	Yes	975.07
Metusalem	Yes	577.36
planktonXD	Yes	488.25
iuH1398SI	Yes	454.54
explorer221	Yes	427.67
Bikesarethebest	Yes	417.18
Razirback	Yes	416.66
0xaa06…1e0f	Yes	398.38
LornaPredicts	Yes	347.83
xixihaha009	Yes	299.07
Bond2026	Yes	294.12
0xb651…2089	Yes	276.76
2B9S	Yes	260
javictoria	Yes	227.27
Touge	Yes	211.63
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	200
saiwang2026	Yes	188.7
Paskin235	Yes	163.04

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
19:00:19	SELL	Yes	0.022	125	$2.75
19:00:01	BUY	No	0.978	85	$83.13
08:40:45	SELL	Yes	0.022	40	$0.88
17:22:06	SELL	No	0.9703835426	151	$146.82
07:14:37	BUY	Yes	0.0289999997	69	$2.00
07:14:10	BUY	Yes	0.022	55	$1.21
07:14:01	BUY	No	0.9789999999	151	$148.13
06:05:28	SELL	Yes	0.021	30	$0.63
21:53:22	BUY	No	0.978	36	$35.21
18:16:01	SELL	Yes	0.022	91	$2.00
18:15:22	BUY	No	0.979	500	$489.50
18:10:28	BUY	No	0.979	500	$489.50
18:01:57	BUY	Yes	0.025	40	$1.00
18:01:55	BUY	No	0.978999999	20	$19.57
18:01:55	BUY	No	0.9789095023	442	$432.68
11:50:03	SELL	Yes	0.022	15	$0.33
11:50:01	SELL	Yes	0.024	5	$0.12
11:49:58	SELL	Yes	0.025	80	$2.00
11:23:18	BUY	Yes	0.029	20	$0.58
11:23:13	SELL	Yes	0.027	20	$0.54
11:22:24	SELL	Yes	0.027	20	$0.54
16:56:36	SELL	No	0.971	5	$4.96
16:56:15	BUY	No	0.9779999977	5	$5.00
13:06:33	BUY	Yes	0.0299999997	34	$1.01
13:05:45	SELL	No	0.97	5	$4.95