Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Resolves by: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Rewards: 20 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.019. down 0.005 over the period, from 0.024. Range 0.017 to 0.153. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.021	199	199
0.022	40	239
0.024	61	300
0.025	211	511
0.027	1,414	1,925
0.028	512	2,437
0.029	306	2,743
0.030	100	2,843
0.031	846	3,688
0.032	593	4,281
0.033	20	4,301
0.034	171	4,472

Spread0.004Mid0.019

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.017	204	204
0.016	349	553
0.015	102	655
0.014	20	675
0.013	12,222	12,897
0.012	20	12,917
0.011	479	13,397
0.010	2,846	16,242
0.009	556	16,798
0.008	625	17,423
0.007	2,107	19,530
0.006	833	20,364

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.983	204	204
0.984	349	553
0.985	102	655
0.986	20	675
0.987	12,222	12,897
0.988	20	12,917
0.989	479	13,397
0.990	2,846	16,242
0.991	556	16,798
0.992	625	17,423
0.993	2,107	19,530
0.994	833	20,364

Spread0.004Mid0.981

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.979	199	199
0.978	40	239
0.976	61	300
0.975	211	511
0.973	1,414	1,925
0.972	512	2,437
0.971	306	2,743
0.970	100	2,843
0.969	846	3,688
0.968	593	4,281
0.967	20	4,301
0.966	171	4,472

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
TheLightFire	Yes	13,410.2
whumpa	Yes	2,593.21
lyoo1210	Yes	721.95
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	617.18
Metusalem	Yes	577.36
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	485.31
iuH1398SI	Yes	454.54
explorer221	Yes	427.67
Razirback	Yes	416.66
planktonXD	Yes	408.25
0xaa06…1e0f	Yes	398.38
LornaPredicts	Yes	347.83
Bond2026	Yes	294.12
0xb651…2089	Yes	276.76
2B9S	Yes	260
javictoria	Yes	227.27
saiwang2026	Yes	203.15
thecaricature	Yes	160
ychwuw	Yes	144.32
cabbag	Yes	100

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
17:13:04	SELL	Yes	0.018	20	$0.36
17:12:57	SELL	Yes	0.02	35	$0.70
17:11:10	BUY	Yes	0.0283145	80	$2.27
02:33:24	SELL	No	0.973	2	$2.32
02:33:22	SELL	No	0.974	20	$19.48
02:33:10	SELL	No	0.975	66	$64.53
02:13:58	BUY	No	0.973	31	$30.16
21:47:21	SELL	Yes	0.022	24	$0.52
21:00:34	SELL	Yes	0.025	10	$0.25
21:00:28	SELL	Yes	0.044	10	$0.44
21:00:12	BUY	No	0.955	20	$19.10
19:58:54	BUY	No	0.954	5	$4.88
19:17:36	SELL	No	0.931	9	$8.21
19:16:36	BUY	No	0.953	37	$35.26
19:16:04	BUY	No	0.954	38	$36.25
19:14:40	BUY	Yes	0.0609999999	347	$21.17
17:47:28	SELL	No	0.953	40	$38.12
17:47:25	SELL	No	0.954	50	$47.70
17:47:22	SELL	No	0.954	20	$19.08
17:45:56	SELL	No	0.97	5	$4.85
17:45:02	SELL	No	0.96	174	$166.57
17:44:59	SELL	No	0.963	174	$167.09
17:44:56	SELL	No	0.9686471076	1,001	$969.85
17:40:14	SELL	No	0.97	5	$4.85
17:39:59	SELL	No	0.97	211	$204.46